#948 Альфа-оценка 17.4

Francisco Utsch

Управляющий, Kiron Capital
· отслеживается с май 2026
948
BUZZBERG Лидерборд ранжируется по Alpha Score, который учитывает среднюю доходность спикера, число его коллов и репутацию — рейтинг авторитетности источника, который может только повысить скор, но не понизить. Читать FAQ
Альфа-оценка 17.4
Сигналы
7
Винрейт
28.6%
доходность
-7.6%
Сигналы 7 3 Постов отслежено · 0.0/день
Сигналы
0
30д 0
90д 0
Лучшие сигналы
MELI Лонг +16.8%
NU Лонг +1.9%
Худшие сигналы
CSAN3.SA Лонг -33.3%
SMFT3.SA Лонг -12.6%
PNVL3.SA Лонг -11.4%
Самые упоминаемые
ITUB4.SA ×3
NU ×2
TOTS3.SA ×1
Последние сигналы
PNVL3.SA Лонг 3 месяца назад
MELI Лонг 3 месяца назад
CSAN3.SA Лонг 3 месяца назад
Винрейт 29% Лонг 7 Шорт 0
Винрейт
14%
30д 29%
90д 43%
Средняя доходность -7.6% Доходность лонгов -7.6% Доходность шортов -
Средняя доходность
-6.4%
30д -8.3%
90д -3.9%
Загрузка графиков...
Результат
Результат
Сортировка
Тема Позиция
Тикер
Сторона
Упоминания
Первый колл
Цена колла
P&L
Тезис
Тема
Источник
Лонг
12 мая
$39.87
-3.6%
Itaú cheap, high ROE, defensive.
Itaú is trading below 8x 2027 earnings, 2x book, with 26.5% ROE and R$12bn quarterly profit. It is a defensive, liquid bank that foreign investors pile into when flows return. The current price below R$40 is attractive for long-term holders.
Банки
Лонг
12 мая
$13.37
+1.9%
Nu growth cheap, multiple compressed.
Nubank trades at 11x 2027 earnings, a low multiple for a high-growth fintech with successful geographic expansion (Mexico profitable, US entry underway), founder-led management, and a strong credit model enhanced by AI. The risk-reward is attractive.
Платежи и финтех
Лонг
12 мая
$4.81
-33.3%
Cosan sum-of-parts discount, value unlock.
Cosan is a holding company trading at a 20-30% discount to sum-of-parts, driven by the IPO of Compass, the potential exit from Raízen (valued at zero in our model), and other assets like Rumo and Radar. New management (BTG/Perfin influence) is focused on deleveraging and unlocking value. The stock at R$5.80 is a deep value play.
Нефть и газ
Лонг
12 мая
$1577.00
+16.8%
MELI growth intact, margin pressure temporary.
Mercado Livre reported strong GMV growth (38% in Brazil) but fell 14% on the day due to margin pressure from free shipping and credit provision expansion. We view the drop as an opportunity: the company has a long track record of navigating credit cycles, and the freight investment is expanding the market. At 5% of portfolio, we remain positive and see an attractive risk/reward.
Ритейл и мобильность
Лонг
12 мая
$12.90
-11.4%
Panvel defensive, GLP-1 tailwind.
Panvel is a pharmacy chain benefiting from the GLP-1 secular trend (weight-loss drugs), which is accelerating same-store sales by 3-4 points. The company has low leverage, trades at single-digit multiples, and has resilient demand even in a high-rate environment. It is a defensive small cap with a growth catalyst.
Строительство/инфраструктура
Лонг
12 мая
$19.74
-12.6%
Smart Fit cheap, growth accelerating.
Smart Fit delivered strong Q1 results (revenue +25%, EBIT +30%, recurring net profit +45%). Despite competition from new gym chains and aggregators like TotalPass, Smart Fit is the dominant player with a moat. International operations (Mexico bottoming, LatAm growing) add upside. Trading at 9.5x next year´s earnings, it is a bargain for a secular wellness growth story.
Ритейл и мобильность
Лонг
12 мая
$33.04
-11.3%
Totvs cheap, AI fears overblown.
Totvs has been hit by the AI sell-off in software stocks, but its mission-critical ERP systems (with high switching costs, inflation-linked contracts) are not easily disrupted. The acquisition of Links adds synergies, and the company is using AI to improve its own efficiency. At 16x earnings, it is historically cheap and a top pick.
ПО для ИИ
Показано 7 из 7 коллов · сортировка по упоминаниям

У Francisco Utsch на Buzzberg отслеживается 7 торговых идей по 7 тикерам с мая 2026. #948 в рейтинге Buzzberg Alpha. Чаще всего покрывает: ITUB4.SA, NU, TOTS3.SA.