#27 Альфа-оценка 97.7

firstadopter

Author, Key Context
@firstadopter · отслеживается с янв 2026
27
BUZZBERG Лидерборд ранжируется по Alpha Score, который учитывает среднюю доходность спикера, число его коллов и репутацию — рейтинг авторитетности источника, который может только повысить скор, но не понизить. Читать FAQ
Альфа-оценка 97.7
Сигналы
20
Винрейт
85.0%
доходность
+23.4%
Сигналы 20 4648 Постов отслежено · 21.4/день
Сигналы
1
30д 1
90д 1
Лучшие сигналы
INTC Лонг +125.6%
CRDO Лонг +76.3%
AMAT Лонг +49.7%
Худшие сигналы
SMCI Лонг -7.1%
SNPS Лонг -2.8%
CHRW Лонг -0.9%
Самые упоминаемые
NVDA ×35
GOOGL ×7
MSFT ×3
Последние сигналы
AMAT Лонг 5 месяцев назад
CHRW Лонг 5 месяцев назад
TTWO Лонг 6 месяцев назад
Винрейт 85% Лонг 18 Шорт 2
Винрейт
42%
30д 37%
90д 68%
Средняя доходность +23.4% Доходность лонгов +24.9% Доходность шортов +9.1%
Средняя доходность
-1.0%
30д -1.8%
90д +10.0%
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Сортировка
Тема Позиция
Тикер
Сторона
Упоминания
Первый колл
Цена колла
P&L
Тезис
Тема
Источник
Лонг
05 янв
$190.17
+17.7%
Buy NVDA on accelerating AI server supercycle
Buy NVDA because the NVL72 AI server supercycle is evident in Foxconn's accelerating monthly revenue and AI rack-server momentum into Q1.
ИИ-вычисления
Шорт
05 авг
$363.06
+2.3%
Google secular short on Jeff Dean exit
Short GOOGL on secular cultural and talent deterioration thesis; Jeff Dean's departure — the architect of Google's AI, TPUs, and search infrastructure — signals structural decay at the company's technical core.
Гиперскейлеры
Лонг
23 янв
$467.69
+6.8%
Microsoft underestimated AI winner on data center ramp
Buy Microsoft as an underestimated AI beneficiary; UBS channel checks confirm Fairwater Wisconsin data center (Phase 1 ~1 GW by end-2026) and Atlanta (200 MW by end-2025) are ramping faster than consensus expects, supporting material AI infrastructure upside.
Гиперскейлеры
Лонг
15 янв
$349.00
+20.6%
TSMC capex raise confirms AI demand surge
Buy TSM as TSMC's Q4 beat on revenue ($33.73B vs $33.3B est), gross margin (62.3% vs 60.5% est), and Q1 guidance ($34.6-35.8B vs $33.2B est) confirm sustained AI compute demand; FY26 capex raised to $52-56B (vs $48B est) signals supply-constrained demand through 2028-2029.
Производство/оборудование
Лонг
12 фев
$362.00
+49.7%
AMAT beat-and-raise dip is unwarranted
Buy AMAT; the stock is dipping despite a strong earnings beat and raised guidance, which the speaker views as an unwarranted sell-off in a high-quality semiconductor equipment name.
Производство/оборудование
Лонг
10 фев
$1433.59
+21.6%
ASML preferred pick over risky memory
Buy ASML as a preferred semiconductor equipment name over memory, which the author views as exposed to disruption risk; ASML cited as a top pick in response to a best-ideas prompt.
Производство/оборудование
Шорт
02 фев
$77405.20
+15.9%
Warsh QT agenda bearish for Bitcoin
Short Bitcoin as Kevin Warsh signals aggressive balance sheet reduction (QE→QT), removing the excess liquidity that has historically inflated speculative assets; a smaller Fed balance sheet drains the risk-appetite fuel underpinning crypto.
Криптоактивы
Лонг
23 янв
$45.07
+125.6%
Intel supply trough; sequential improvement ahead
Buy Intel as Q1 2026 represents the trough of supply/manufacturing challenges; the author argues supply improves sequentially each quarter from here, making current weakness a buying opportunity.
Производство/оборудование
Лонг
12 фев
$150.67
-0.9%
CHRW first-mover AI benefit, bear thesis wrong
Buy CHRW; the AI-disruption bear narrative is misplaced — the company is actually a first-mover beneficiary of AI adoption in freight brokerage, making the recent selloff on disruption fears an overreaction.
Грузоперевозки и логистика
Лонг
10 фев
$341.92
+24.7%
Long Broadcom: chip demand is red-hot, and Broadcom should keep benefiting from the same semiconductor strength that is driving the author’
Long Broadcom: chip demand is red-hot, and Broadcom should keep benefiting from the same semiconductor strength that is driving the author’
ASIC для ИИ
Лонг
10 фев
$210.25
+17.0%
TTWO AI sell-off overblown, buy the dip
Buy TTWO as the sell-off triggered by Google Project Genie / AI world-model fears is technically misguided; world models cannot replace game engines in gameplay mechanics, monetization, or distribution, making the dip an overreaction.
Гейминг и развлечения
Лонг
09 фев
$141.76
+76.3%
CRDO guidance beat vindicates post-dip buy
Buy CRDO after the AI-driven selloff proved premature; the company pre-announced Q3 FY2026 revenue of $404-408M, roughly 20% above the top of prior guidance of $345M, signaling strong demand momentum that the bears missed.
ИИ-фотоника
Лонг
06 фев
$283.52
+18.8%
Cadence irreplaceable even in AGI era
Buy Cadence as Jensen Huang's endorsed logic holds that AI will use specialized EDA tools rather than reinvent them, and the current software sector selloff driven by AI-replacement fears is irrational.
ASIC для ИИ
Лонг
06 фев
$100.74
+23.8%
AI uses software tools, not replaces them
Buy ServiceNow as the AI-will-replace-software narrative is logically flawed; AGI will use existing enterprise tools rather than reinvent them, making the current valuation pressure on software names an overreaction.
ПО для ИИ
Лонг
06 фев
$203.34
+0.9%
SAP survives AI as indispensable tool
Buy SAP as the market's AI-displacement fear is misplaced; enterprise software incumbents are the tools AGI will leverage, not replace, making current stock pressure a buying opportunity.
ПО для ИИ
Показано 15 из 20 коллов · сортировка по упоминаниям

У firstadopter на Buzzberg отслеживается 20 торговых идей по 19 тикерам с января 2026. винрейт 85% по 20 оцененным сигналам, средняя доходность +23.4%. #27 в рейтинге Buzzberg Alpha. Чаще всего покрывает: NVDA, GOOGL, MSFT.