Brian Levitt

Levitt notes a rotation from "virtual themes" (AI concentration) to the "physical world." The S&P 500 Equal Weight (RSP) is near all-time highs, while tech has seen 3 weeks of losses. The market is broadening out. As investors take profits in Mag-7/AI, capital flows into undervalued cyclical sectors (Financials, Industrials, Energy) and mid-caps that benefit from economic resilience and re-industrialization. Long RSP and Cyclical Sectors. A recession would hit cyclicals harder than cash-rich tech monopolies.

With oil prices, interest rates, and inflation expectations peaking, and the Federal Reserve eventually resuming its easing stance, small-cap stocks are poised to outperform. The Russell 2000 relative to the S&P 500 is showing a potential major breakout, and small caps have already been doing well this year.

Despite the Middle East conflict, the market is looking past it, with stocks having recovered losses and corporate America in good shape. The market is suggesting the conflict will conclude soon, and stocks are expected to perform bonds. Risk is back to neutral, favoring higher quality mega cap stocks in the portfolio, while also diversifying into emerging markets that are likely to outperform as the situation improves.

Levitt notes a rotation from "virtual themes" (AI concentration) to the "physical world." The S&P 500 Equal Weight (RSP) is near all-time highs, while tech has seen 3 weeks of losses. The market is broadening out. As investors take profits in Mag-7/AI, capital flows into undervalued cyclical sectors (Financials, Industrials, Energy) and mid-caps that benefit from economic resilience and re-industrialization. Long RSP and Cyclical Sectors. A recession would hit cyclicals harder than cash-rich tech monopolies.

The AI selloff is a recalibration, not the end of a structural trend; demand remains incredibly robust, and the Magnificent 7 have historically bottomed after breaking below the 200-day moving average, so this dip presents a buying opportunity in AI/tech leaders.

AI integration will substantially benefit underperforming sectors like financials and healthcare, improving efficiency and profitability as businesses adopt AI solutions. These sectors are expected to see substantial gains in the coming years.

Despite the Middle East conflict, the market is looking past it, with stocks having recovered losses and corporate America in good shape. The market is suggesting the conflict will conclude soon, and stocks are expected to perform bonds. Risk is back to neutral, favoring higher quality mega cap stocks in the portfolio, while also diversifying into emerging markets that are likely to outperform as the situation improves.

Despite the Middle East conflict, the market is looking past it, with stocks having recovered losses and corporate America in good shape. The market is suggesting the conflict will conclude soon, and stocks are expected to perform bonds. Risk is back to neutral, favoring higher quality mega cap stocks in the portfolio, while also diversifying into emerging markets that are likely to outperform as the situation improves.

"My perspective on that is that weakness in economic activity is actually going to be good for equities, because the Federal Reserve is going to lower interest rates and steepen the US Treasury yield curve." The speaker explicitly links economic weakness to an expectation of Federal Reserve rate cuts. Lower policy rates typically lead to falling yields on the long end of the curve, which increases the price of long-duration Treasury bonds. The anticipation of Fed easing is a direct catalyst for going LONG on long-term Treasury bonds (TLT). Geopolitical events (like the conflict mentioned) could reignite inflation fears, keeping the Fed on hold or even prompting hikes. A stronger-than-expected economy would also delay or negate the need for cuts.

Levitt notes a rotation from "virtual themes" (AI concentration) to the "physical world." The S&P 500 Equal Weight (RSP) is near all-time highs, while tech has seen 3 weeks of losses. The market is broadening out. As investors take profits in Mag-7/AI, capital flows into undervalued cyclical sectors (Financials, Industrials, Energy) and mid-caps that benefit from economic resilience and re-industrialization. Long RSP and Cyclical Sectors. A recession would hit cyclicals harder than cash-rich tech monopolies.

Levitt notes a rotation from "virtual themes" (AI concentration) to the "physical world." The S&P 500 Equal Weight (RSP) is near all-time highs, while tech has seen 3 weeks of losses. The market is broadening out. As investors take profits in Mag-7/AI, capital flows into undervalued cyclical sectors (Financials, Industrials, Energy) and mid-caps that benefit from economic resilience and re-industrialization. Long RSP and Cyclical Sectors. A recession would hit cyclicals harder than cash-rich tech monopolies.