Сигналы
14
#510
Альфа-оценка 60.1
Asymmetrical Bets
Автор Substack, Asymmetrical Bets
Винрейт
28.6%
доходность
+3.2%
Загрузка графиков...
Тикер
Сторона
Упоминания
Первый колл
Цена колла
P&L
Тезис
Тема
Источник
Лонг
26 мар
$53.46
+106.8%
Soitec holds a >95% market share in photonics-grade SOI wafers essential for AI optical interconnects, which are projected to grow from $14B to $73B by 2030. Despite current depressed revenue from mob
Soitec holds a >95% market share in photonics-grade SOI wafers essential for AI optical interconnects, which are projected to grow from $14B to $73B by 2030. Despite current depressed revenue from mobile/auto cycles, the company's monopoly in a key AI infrastructure substrate offers asymmetric upside.
Производство/оборудование
Лонг
17 авг
$142.72
-19.9%
TTMI is the sole US-based publicly traded pure-play PCB manufacturer, uniquely positioned to benefit from surging AI server PCB demand, massive ASP expansion due to board complexity, and a geopolitica
TTMI is the sole US-based publicly traded pure-play PCB manufacturer, uniquely positioned to benefit from surging AI server PCB demand, massive ASP expansion due to board complexity, and a geopolitical premium as buyers diversify away from Asian monopolies.
PCB/подложки
Лонг
04 авг
$40.80
-14.7%
Every transceiver shipped must be tested, and VIAV is the dominant optical test supplier; four consecutive guidance beats plus a 38% pullback set up a multi-year AI test-cycle confirmation on Wednesda
Every transceiver shipped must be tested, and VIAV is the dominant optical test supplier; four consecutive guidance beats plus a 38% pullback set up a multi-year AI test-cycle confirmation on Wednesday.
ИИ-фотоника
Лонг
08 июл
$113.72
-10.0%
The 47% selloff is overdone due to misinterpretation of ATM dilution and margin decline; fundamentals remain strong with record revenue, $449M cash, and large orders from Amazon.
The 47% selloff is overdone due to misinterpretation of ATM dilution and margin decline; fundamentals remain strong with record revenue, $449M cash, and large orders from Amazon.
ИИ-фотоника
Лонг
25 июн
$19.48
+27.8%
Sony is mispriced as a conglomerate; its gaming division will capture significant revenue from GTA VI through digital storefront fees, PSN subscriptions, and online microtransaction cuts, yet the mark
Sony is mispriced as a conglomerate; its gaming division will capture significant revenue from GTA VI through digital storefront fees, PSN subscriptions, and online microtransaction cuts, yet the market values it as a slow-moving holding company.
Гейминг и развлечения
Лонг
25 мая
$15.20
-23.6%
Harmonic is a software monopoly with 95% market share in virtualized CMTS, benefiting from the mandatory DOCSIS 4.0 upgrade cycle and growing AI bandwidth demand, with accelerating revenue, margin exp
Harmonic is a software monopoly with 95% market share in virtualized CMTS, benefiting from the mandatory DOCSIS 4.0 upgrade cycle and growing AI bandwidth demand, with accelerating revenue, margin expansion, and a pending divestiture that will transform it into a pure-play broadband software company.
ИИ-фотоника
Лонг
29 апр
$181.80
-8.3%
The author believes Qualcomm is an undervalued legacy chipmaker that is poised for an "AI re-rating" after securing a hyperscaler customer, presenting an asymmetrical upside opportunity.
The author believes Qualcomm is an undervalued legacy chipmaker that is poised for an "AI re-rating" after securing a hyperscaler customer, presenting an asymmetrical upside opportunity.
ASIC для ИИ
Лонг
20 апр
$33.41
-49.5%
AVEX is a mispriced pure-play drone stock trading at 4.5x forward sales vs faster-growing peers; catalysts from sell-side coverage initiation, execution on $800M+ 2026 revenue, and eventual multiple e
AVEX is a mispriced pure-play drone stock trading at 4.5x forward sales vs faster-growing peers; catalysts from sell-side coverage initiation, execution on $800M+ 2026 revenue, and eventual multiple expansion to peer levels could drive 74% to 434% upside.
ВПК
Лонг
17 апр
$41.03
-14.7%
Aixtron dominates MOCVD reactors for growing indium phosphide lasers used in AI data center optical transceivers. It trades at 36x EV/EBITDA vs Besi at 82x, with net cash and rising guidance, offering
Aixtron dominates MOCVD reactors for growing indium phosphide lasers used in AI data center optical transceivers. It trades at 36x EV/EBITDA vs Besi at 82x, with net cash and rising guidance, offering multiple expansion potential as demand for InP epitaxial capacity surges.
Производство/оборудование
Лонг
17 апр
$11.10
+17.1%
LPKF's LIDE process enables precise glass substrate drilling for advanced chip packaging, a critical enabler for next-gen AI accelerators. Currently unprofitable with ~€100M revenue, but if glass subs
LPKF's LIDE process enables precise glass substrate drilling for advanced chip packaging, a critical enabler for next-gen AI accelerators. Currently unprofitable with ~€100M revenue, but if glass substrates win, revenue could reach €250M with 25% EBITDA margin, offering 4-10x upside from current levels. Binary risk but asymmetric reward.
Производство/оборудование
Лонг
23 мар
$406.13
+128.6%
Author added to Micron position after market sold off record earnings, betting on continued HBM demand from Nvidia's massive GPU factory buildout and the memory supercycle driven by inference workload
Author added to Micron position after market sold off record earnings, betting on continued HBM demand from Nvidia's massive GPU factory buildout and the memory supercycle driven by inference workloads.
Память для ИИ
Лонг
11 мар
$10.23
-49.4%
Kraken Robotics is the key beneficiary of the Iran mine-laying crisis due to its dominant technology in mine-hunting sonar, batteries, and the Covelya acquisition making it a near-monopoly subsea dron
Kraken Robotics is the key beneficiary of the Iran mine-laying crisis due to its dominant technology in mine-hunting sonar, batteries, and the Covelya acquisition making it a near-monopoly subsea drone supplier.
Робототехника
Лонг
08 мар
$100.45
-0.0%
Author is reducing equity exposure and parking 20% in SGOV as a cash buffer to protect downside and provide optionality amid geopolitical uncertainty and a potential macro pivot.
Author is reducing equity exposure and parking 20% in SGOV as a cash buffer to protect downside and provide optionality amid geopolitical uncertainty and a potential macro pivot.
Облигации и ставки
Лонг
04 мар
$6.67
-45.4%
Kraken's acquisition of Covelya creates a monopoly in subsea drone components, tripling revenue, deeply improving valuation multiples, and making the stock accretive despite dilution; the author expli
Kraken's acquisition of Covelya creates a monopoly in subsea drone components, tripling revenue, deeply improving valuation multiples, and making the stock accretive despite dilution; the author explicitly plans to add on any pullback.
ВПК
Показано 14 из 14 коллов · сортировка по упоминаниям
Выберите число упоминаний, чтобы открыть посты по тикеру.
У Asymmetrical Bets на Buzzberg отслеживается 14 торговых идей по 14 тикерам с марта 2026. #510 в рейтинге Buzzberg Alpha. Чаще всего покрывает: SOI, QCOM, AAOI.
