i got drunk this weekend because of bryan johnson...

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 14, 2026 at 13:00  |  7:19  |  Thread Guy
Speakers
Thread Guy — Crypto influencer, independent

Summary

Thread Guy reacts to a Ray Dalio birthday clip to argue that the health-optimization podcast era has topped, with Brian Johnson as the cultural peak. He sees a coming reversal toward 'Lindy' vice consumption such as wine and tobacco. He says public alcohol stocks are down badly and likely at a cultural bottom, naming Budweiser Brewing, Heineken, Constellation Brands, and Brown-Forman as watch setups. He also flags Philip Morris as a Lindy tobacco name.

  • Thread Guy reacts to Ray Dalio's 77th birthday clip and says 'IRL is back.'
  • He argues the health-optimization/self-optimization podcast trend has topped, with Brian Johnson as the extreme peak.
  • He claims wine, tobacco, and other vice consumption are culturally embedded and Lindy.
  • He sees public alcohol stocks as down bad and at a cultural bottom.
  • He names Budweiser Brewing, Heineken, Constellation Brands, and Brown-Forman as alcohol bottom watch names.
  • He separately flags Philip Morris as a Lindy tobacco/vice name.
  • He identifies STZ as the best US expression of long alcohol because 91% of sales are beer and it owns Modelo, Corona, and Pacifico.
Ideas
Thread Guy Crypto influencer, independent 5:06
Philip Morris is a Lindy vice play.
He points to Philip Morris as a Lindy vice/tobacco name: tobacco use has existed for centuries, and as the health-optimization trend fades, entrenched vice consumption is likely to return to favor. He references a prior segment and reacts positively to the PM chart.
Thread Guy Crypto influencer, independent 5:30
Alcohol stocks are at a cultural bottom.
The health-optimization trend has topped and is reversing toward entrenched 'Lindy' behaviors like drinking. Public alcohol names are down badly and are at a cultural bottom, so he wants to watch Budweiser Brewing, Heineken, and Brown-Forman for a return-to-mean/cultural reversal setup.
Thread Guy Crypto influencer, independent 6:22
STZ is best US alcohol expression.
He identifies Constellation Brands as the best public expression of long alcohol in US stocks because 91% of the company is beer sales and it owns Modelo, Corona, and Pacifico. Despite the stock being down badly, he sees it as bottomed and worth watching as a cultural-bottom play.
Up Next

This Thread Guy video, published August 14, 2026, features Thread Guy discussing PM, XLP, BF.B, HEINY, 1876.HK, STZ. 3 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Thread Guy  · Tickers: PM, XLP, BF.B, HEINY, 1876.HK, STZ