Bob Elliott
· Nonconsensus
· August 07, 2026 at 10:01
| Read on Substack ↗
Summary
The article argues that the dominant force behind today's US economy is surging household nominal spending, not the so-called AI investment myth. With the labor market languishing, the key risk is whether that spending growth can be sustained, which determines the near-term macro outlook.
•The author dismisses the AI investment narrative as a myth and instead identifies surging household nominal spending as the true driver of US economic growth.
•The central question posed is whether current household spending growth can continue, given the labor market is described as languishing.
•The title frames labor market weakness as the main threat to the durability of consumer-led demand.