Defying Reality

Bob Elliott · Nonconsensus · August 05, 2026 at 10:26  | Read on Substack ↗
Summary
The available excerpt argues that renewed downward pressure in oil markets — driven largely by hopes for a swift Iran deal — is feeding a broader equity-market rally. Lower oil is being treated as a disinflationary and geopolitical tailwind for risk assets, with energy/oil markets absorbing the negative side of the trade.
  • Oil markets have seen renewed downward pressure over the past couple of days.
  • That oil weakness has directly 'contributed to the euphoria seen across equity markets.'
  • Much of the equity optimism is explicitly tied to hopes that an Iran deal is reached quickly.
Length 244 chars
Category finance
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