#50 Alpha Score 95.5

J.D. Vance

Vice President of the United States
@JDVance · tracked since Mar 2026
50
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Alpha Score 95.5
Calls
9
Win Rate
88.9%
return
+29.6%
Calls 9 4 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 6
Best Calls
HUM Long +113.2%
CNC Long +84.3%
UNH Long +42.7%
Worst Calls
UGA Short -7.8%
Most Mentioned
BNO ×3
UNH ×1
HUM ×1
Recent Calls
WEAT Long 1 month ago
CORN Long 1 month ago
SOYB Long 1 month ago
Win Rate 89% Long 6 Short 3
Win Rate
7d 33%
30d 78%
90d 100%
Average Return +29.6% Long Return +42.4% Short Return +4.1%
Average Return
7d -1.4%
30d +5.5%
90d +82.4%
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Result
Result
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Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Short
Jun 15
$119.69
+3.9%
Strait of Hormuz reopening lowers oil.
The peace deal ensures the immediate and long-term toll-free reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, removing a key supply disruption risk and leading to lower oil prices.
Commodities
Long
Jun 23
$16.74
+5.9%
Unfrozen Iran assets buy US grains
If frozen Iranian assets are ever unfrozen, the deal mandates that the money be used to purchase American soy, corn, and wheat, directly boosting demand for those US agricultural commodities and benefiting American farmers.
Commodities
Long
Jun 23
$24.30
+3.1%
Unfrozen Iran assets buy US grains
If frozen Iranian assets are ever unfrozen, the deal mandates that the money be used to purchase American soy, corn, and wheat, directly boosting demand for those US agricultural commodities and benefiting American farmers.
Commodities
Short
Jun 23
$11.68
+16.1%
Strait of Hormuz open, bearish oil/gas
The new coordination mechanism keeps the Strait of Hormuz open for crude oil and natural gas flows, reducing supply-disruption risk and creating downward pressure on oil and gas prices.
Commodities
Long
Jun 23
$22.72
+5.3%
Unfrozen Iran assets buy US grains
If frozen Iranian assets are ever unfrozen, the deal mandates that the money be used to purchase American soy, corn, and wheat, directly boosting demand for those US agricultural commodities and benefiting American farmers.
Commodities
Short
Jun 18
$99.78
-7.8%
Oil and gas prices will keep falling.
The Iran peace deal has reopened the Strait of Hormuz, allowing a surge in oil shipments that has driven oil prices back to pre-war levels. With the blockade lifted and the straits open, oil and gasoline prices are expected to keep falling further, delivering ongoing relief at the pump.
Commodities
Long
Mar 16
$35.13
+84.3%
"We saw evidence that in Minneapolis there were Somali primarily illegal immigrants who were defrauding a Medicaid program that was meant to go to autistic children... they were claiming that their kids were actually autistic even though they weren't." The VP also states the task force will "stop the payments" to states with fraud and use "law enforcement options." A massive, high-profile federal crackdown on Medicaid fraud, with the threat of withholding payments, will create significant headline, regulatory, and reimbursement risk for Medicaid-focused managed care organizations (MCOs). States like Minnesota and California will be under intense scrutiny, potentially leading to audits, recoupments, and tighter enrollment/eligibility controls, which could pressure revenues and margins for companies with high Medicaid exposure. This is an AVOID recommendation due to increased regulatory and headline risk that could negatively impact sentiment and fundamentals for Medicaid-centric health insurers. The crackdown may be less effective or slower than promised. The focus may narrow to specific fraudulent providers rather than the managed care companies themselves.
"We saw evidence that in Minneapolis there were Somali primarily illegal immigrants who were defrauding a Medicaid program that was meant to go to autistic children... they were claiming that their kids were actually autistic even though they weren't." The VP also states the task force will "stop the payments" to states with fraud and use "law enforcement options." A massive, high-profile federal crackdown on Medicaid fraud, with the threat of withholding payments, will create significant headline, regulatory, and reimbursement risk for Medicaid-focused managed care organizations (MCOs). States like Minnesota and California will be under intense scrutiny, potentially leading to audits, recoupments, and tighter enrollment/eligibility controls, which could pressure revenues and margins for companies with high Medicaid exposure. This is an AVOID recommendation due to increased regulatory and headline risk that could negatively impact sentiment and fundamentals for Medicaid-centric health insurers. The crackdown may be less effective or slower than promised. The focus may narrow to specific fraudulent providers rather than the managed care companies themselves.
Healthcare Services
Long
Mar 16
$170.50
+113.2%
"when we see evidence of fraud, we stop the payments... We know that the American people are being defrauded. Let's try to stop the payments..." A crackdown on fraud in Medicaid and other health programs directly targets improper payments. Managed care organizations (MCOs) that administer these programs stand to benefit from reduced fraudulent claims leakage, which should improve their medical cost ratios (MCR) and profitability. Stricter oversight could also reduce competition from fraudulent providers. LONG on major Medicaid-managed care organizations. The crackdown could initially increase administrative costs for MCOs; overzealous enforcement might delay legitimate payments.
"when we see evidence of fraud, we stop the payments... We know that the American people are being defrauded. Let's try to stop the payments..." A crackdown on fraud in Medicaid and other health programs directly targets improper payments. Managed care organizations (MCOs) that administer these programs stand to benefit from reduced fraudulent claims leakage, which should improve their medical cost ratios (MCR) and profitability. Stricter oversight could also reduce competition from fraudulent providers. LONG on major Medicaid-managed care organizations. The crackdown could initially increase administrative costs for MCOs; overzealous enforcement might delay legitimate payments.
Healthcare Services
Long
Mar 16
$285.86
+42.7%
"We saw evidence that in Minneapolis there were Somali primarily illegal immigrants who were defrauding a Medicaid program that was meant to go to autistic children... they were claiming that their kids were actually autistic even though they weren't." The VP also states the task force will "stop the payments" to states with fraud and use "law enforcement options." A massive, high-profile federal crackdown on Medicaid fraud, with the threat of withholding payments, will create significant headline, regulatory, and reimbursement risk for Medicaid-focused managed care organizations (MCOs). States like Minnesota and California will be under intense scrutiny, potentially leading to audits, recoupments, and tighter enrollment/eligibility controls, which could pressure revenues and margins for companies with high Medicaid exposure. This is an AVOID recommendation due to increased regulatory and headline risk that could negatively impact sentiment and fundamentals for Medicaid-centric health insurers. The crackdown may be less effective or slower than promised. The focus may narrow to specific fraudulent providers rather than the managed care companies themselves.
"We saw evidence that in Minneapolis there were Somali primarily illegal immigrants who were defrauding a Medicaid program that was meant to go to autistic children... they were claiming that their kids were actually autistic even though they weren't." The VP also states the task force will "stop the payments" to states with fraud and use "law enforcement options." A massive, high-profile federal crackdown on Medicaid fraud, with the threat of withholding payments, will create significant headline, regulatory, and reimbursement risk for Medicaid-focused managed care organizations (MCOs). States like Minnesota and California will be under intense scrutiny, potentially leading to audits, recoupments, and tighter enrollment/eligibility controls, which could pressure revenues and margins for companies with high Medicaid exposure. This is an AVOID recommendation due to increased regulatory and headline risk that could negatively impact sentiment and fundamentals for Medicaid-centric health insurers. The crackdown may be less effective or slower than promised. The focus may narrow to specific fraudulent providers rather than the managed care companies themselves.
Healthcare Services
Showing 9 of 9 calls · sorted by mentions

J.D. Vance has 9 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 9 tickers since March 2026. Ranked #50 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: BNO, UNH, HUM.