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Microsoft has lower political risk under a potential Democratic-leaning government compared to some other tech names, it produces a lot of cash, and its forward PE has compressed to around 24 because earnings keep beating expectations. This makes it a relatively safe way to play the AI theme.
If Middle East hostilities escalate, oil prices definitely move higher; the longer the conflict goes on, the more second-order supply-chain effects feed through because China and others are dependent on Iranian oil, affecting consumer goods and manufacturing.
Asia broadly, including China, is attractively priced relative to the U.S. market, trading at a significant discount; a two-to-three-year view allows investors to ride out the volatility and capture the value.
U.S. incumbent mega-cap tech (traditional Magnificent Seven, excluding Tesla and SpaceX) is trading at extremely cheap valuations, at around 90-year relative discounts, offering an attractive entry level.
Asian AI companies like TSMC are trading at sub-10x price-to-earnings ratios, and bumper reporting seasons are expected. This makes them attractively cheap compared to the AI buildout opportunity.
In inflation-linked bonds are the best insurance against a prolonged energy shock from the Strait of Hormuz closure. They hedge against sustained commodity price increases and the associated inflation risk.
Haig Bathgate has 6 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 6 tickers since April 2026. Ranked #661 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: MSFT, QQQ, TSM.
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