#1149 Alpha Score 10.0

CJ Muse

Senior Managing Director for Semiconductor Equity Research at Cantor Fitzgerald
· tracked since May 2026
1149
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Alpha Score 10.0
Calls
9
Win Rate
11.1%
return
-11.3%
Calls 9 5 Posts tracked · 0.1/day
Calls
7d 3
30d 3
90d 7
Best Calls
2454.TW Long +9.9%
Worst Calls
INTC Long -32.9%
MRVL Long -24.7%
AVGO Long -23.4%
Most Mentioned
NVDA ×3
AVGO ×2
SMH ×1
Recent Calls
2454.TW Long 1 day ago
TSM Long 1 day ago
SMH Long 1 day ago
Win Rate 11% Long 9 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 17%
30d 17%
90d 0%
Average Return -11.3% Long Return -11.3% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -5.3%
30d -16.9%
90d -11.9%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
May 15
$226.06
-3.8%
Buy Nvidia into earnings and beyond.
Nvidia is trading at 15x next year's earnings, making it the cheapest name in coverage. Expects a beat-and-raise quarter and a likely buyback announcement, which historically leads to outperformance. Compute is sold out with TSMC as a bottleneck, benefiting Nvidia's market share. Long-onlys are underweight, so a catalyst like a buyback could trigger chasing. Therefore, wholeheartedly buying Nvidia into and after earnings, through 2026 and 2027.
AI Compute
Long
Jun 03
$483.59
-23.4%
Broadcom top pick, beat and raise expected.
Expects Broadcom to deliver a modest beat and raise, with a focus on upside for calendar 2027 AI revenues (raising from >$100B to $110-120B). Reiterates Overweight rating and top pick. Compute and wafers are constrained, driving future growth. Key relationships with Google and Meta (underappreciated) provide material upside.
AI ASIC
Long
Aug 31
$3925.00
+9.9%
MediaTek is Nvidia's physical AI partner
CJ Muse says NVIDIA's $3.5 billion investment in MediaTek makes perfect sense because MediaTek is basically NVIDIA's physical AI partner. The deal supports NVIDIA's ecosystem and custom silicon strategy, giving MediaTek a differentiated role in the AI buildout.
AI ASIC
Long
Aug 31
$554.73
-1.7%
AI semiconductor spend runs through 2030
CJ Muse argues AI infrastructure spending is durable through at least 2030. TSMC is effectively sold out until 2029, memory is similarly tight, and NVIDIA can only meet about 70% of 2027 demand. If this cycle extends beyond 2028, semiconductor stocks are incredibly cheap.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Aug 31
$419.13
-1.1%
AI semiconductor spend runs through 2030
CJ Muse argues AI infrastructure spending is durable through at least 2030. TSMC is effectively sold out until 2029, memory is similarly tight, and NVIDIA can only meet about 70% of 2027 demand. If this cycle extends beyond 2028, semiconductor stocks are incredibly cheap.
Foundry Equipment
Long
Jun 24
$516.50
-11.1%
TSMC allocation favors NVIDIA, AMD, Broadcom.
TSMC wafer allocation is the key for custom silicon; their work suggests TSMC is prioritizing NVIDIA, AMD, and Broadcom, making these three the winners in custom silicon compute demand.
AI Compute
Long
Jun 24
$132.34
-32.9%
Business shifting to Intel as national champion.
With TSMC fully sold out, business has flowed to Intel. Having a national champion in manufacturing makes a lot of sense, supporting the case for Intel.
Foundry Equipment
Long
Jun 24
$275.76
-24.7%
Amazon/Microsoft custom ASIC drives Marvell earnings.
Marvell's business at Amazon and upcoming business at Microsoft, combined with its tremendous strength in optics, is driving much higher earnings power, potentially reaching $10 EPS into 2028, which has driven the stock's uplift.
AI ASIC
Long
Jun 24
$1067.14
-13.0%
Tight memory supply drives Micron upside.
Memory supply will be even tighter in 2027 than 2026, enabling earnings growth through 2028; bulls see $200 EPS next calendar year, implying the stock trades at 5x earnings, which is too low for a peak multiple for Micron. Further upside remains as long as compute demand extends to 2029-2030 and beyond.
AI Memory
Showing 9 of 9 calls · sorted by mentions

CJ Muse has 9 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 9 tickers since May 2026. Ranked #1149 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: NVDA, AVGO, SMH.