Sources✓
YouTube✓
Twitter✓
Reddit✓
Substack✓
Insider✓
Loading...
0 selected
Loading...
0 selected
All post types✓
Portfolio updates✓
Stock lists✓
Research✓
News✓
All Content✓
Source feeds
Buzzberg's Top 50
✓
All market capsNo capitalization filter✓
200 B and aboveMega✓
10 B to 200 BLarge✓
2 B to 10 BMid✓
0 to 2 BSmall✓
Custom
Enter market cap range in B USD
All directions✓
▲ Long✓
▼ Short✓
⛔ Avoid✓
✂ Close✓
◦ Others✓
Any score✓
LOW+✓
MED+✓
HIGH✓
19:00
Jun 18
Jun 18
16:45
Jun 14
Jun 14
18:30
Jun 11
Jun 11
SPY 1ST
▾
HIGH
US equity market will be backstopped
The US equity market will ultimately be backstopped by the Treasury and the Fed through money printing and the creation of a sovereign wealth fund that directly buys US companies, because monetizing the debt and supporting equities is the only way out of the structural debt, populism, and financialization problems. This will drive massive asset inflation and support equity prices.
SPY LONG
HIGH
18:30
Jun 08
Jun 08
15:14
Jun 06
Jun 06
DBC 1ST
EEM 1ST
▾
MED
Commodities are the best inflation hedge.
Commodities are one of the best liquid tools for hedging inflation, especially during inflation shocks. They are underappreciated in multi-asset portfolios and provide effective short-term protection when inflation surprises to the upside.
DBC LONG
Emerging markets are a long-term opportunity.
Emerging markets have been ignored for a long time, but long-term GDP growth, improving profitability, and institutional interest make them a strategic growth area. The asset class is out of favor and offers a compelling risk-reward for long-term investors.
EEM LONG
MED
15:00
May 31
May 31
16:28
May 28
May 28
15:00
May 24
May 24
15:39
May 22
May 22
S&P 500 put options
SPY 1ST
S&P 500 call options
DBC 1ST
▾
HIGH
Hedge with downside crash protection.
Given the fragility of a passive-dominated market and the risk of sudden, violent corrections from forced deleveraging, downside hedges (crash protection) are very attractive. They provide asymmetric payoff when breaks occur and are cheap in a low-volatility, flow-driven environment.
S&P 500 put options LONG
Long equities attractive due to passive flows.
As passive investing continues to drive equity markets upward through flow-driven momentum, being long equities is attractive because the reflexive performance-flow loop can persist for a long time, even if fundamentals are disconnected. The risk of a sudden break is real, but the trend is powerful.
SPY LONG
Buy underpriced S&P call skew.
The call skew on the S&P index is likely underpriced because the index becomes more concentrated and less elastic, making upside convexity cheap relative to the risk of reflexive upside moves. Buying upside tail risk (e.g., call options) allows participation without adding to long exposure.
S&P 500 call options LONG
Go long inflation-sensitive assets.
The most likely long-term policy response to an over-levered, fragile system is inflationary monetization of debt, which will benefit assets that are sensitive to inflation. Investors should find ways to get long inflation-sensitive assets such as commodities, gold, or other real assets.
DBC LONG
HIGH
15:00
May 18
May 18
14:00
May 15
May 15
15:01
May 11
May 11
GLD 1ST
▾
HIGH
Gold will outperform over next decade.
Gold is in a long-term bull market driven by central bank buying, geopolitical uncertainty, inflation, Chinese retail demand, supply constraints, and a shift in portfolio allocation recommendations. He urges investors to buy physical gold on dips, as the positive forces are structural and likely to persist for years. Gold has outperformed the S&P 500 over the last 25 years and is expected to continue outperforming over the next decade due to lower equity return expectations and gold's unique store-of-value properties.
GLD LONG
HIGH
14:21
May 10
May 10
Regime Adaptive Fund
▾
HIGH
Adaptive portfolio via trend following overlay.
The Regime Adaptive Fund combines a strategic asset allocation (40% risk to growth assets, 20% to diversifiers like bonds and gold, 40% to trend following) to create a portfolio that adapts to changing macroeconomic regimes, inflation, and correlations. It targets ~10-12% volatility and aims to provide both participation in equity upside and protection during downturns via the trend-following overlay.
Regime Adaptive Fund LONG
HIGH
16:43
May 04
May 04
WTI 1ST
▾
HIGH
Long oil due to supply shock trends.
The supply shock from the Middle East conflict has kept oil prices elevated, and being long crude oil since March has been profitable despite increased volatility. The persistence of the crisis and central banks' inability to address supply shocks supports continued price trends.
WTI LONG
HIGH
13:36
May 01
May 01
17:59
Apr 27
Apr 27
WTI FLIP
BNO 1ST
▾
MED
Brent to outperform WTI on spread.
The US government's ability to control domestic oil prices (WTI) while global Brent prices rise due to geopolitical tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruption will cause the Brent-WTI spread to widen significantly, making the spread trade an easy directional play.
WTI SHORT
BNO LONG
MED
20:00
Apr 24
Apr 24
BTC 1ST
ALTCOINS 1ST
▾
HIGH
Bitcoin is a structural winner long-term.
Bitcoin is bullish over the next 5 years due to generational demand from younger cohorts who favor technological advancement and fairness, combined with favorable supply-demand and regulatory pathways.
BTC LONG
Altcoins lack sustained use case.
Most altcoins lack a sustained use case and structural growth, making them bearish investments overall, though occasionally tradeable.
ALTCOINS SHORT
HIGH
16:00
Apr 19
Apr 19
UST 1ST
WTI 1ST
▾
MED
Short bonds due to inflation concerns.
Rob Carver is short bonds as part of a portfolio positioning reflecting inflation concerns and uncertainty. He expects that a potential oil supply shock could hurt equities, which his long equity position would suffer, but the short bonds position would provide some offset. The short bonds position is a direct bet on rising yields or inflation.
UST SHORT
Long energies on oil supply shock.
Rob Carver holds a small long position in energies (oil futures) based on his view that an oil supply shock is likely to play out, driving oil prices higher. He expects the oil price rally to be sustained due to physical market dislocations, though his overall portfolio risk is low and the position size is modest.
WTI LONG
MED
17:35
Apr 16
Apr 16
GLD 1ST
SILVER 1ST
▾
MED
Bullish on gold and silver
Gold and silver remain in a bull market pullback. If prices hold current support, the next three to six months should see significant upside. He personally holds physical gold and silver coins as a hedge against monetary debasement, viewing the environment as similar to the 1970s.
GLD LONG
SILVER LONG
MED
15:30
Apr 13
Apr 13
QIS trend products
DBMF 1ST
CTA 1ST
▾
HIGH
QIS trend products underperform live
QIS (quantitative investment strategies) trend products consistently underperform the live CTA index, typically by 200 basis points, with a 90% drop from backtest Sharpe to live Sharpe. They suffer from high year-to-year dispersion (up to 40%), high manager selection risk, and opaque costs; allocators should avoid them as a replacement for active CTA exposure.
QIS trend products AVOID
Simple trend ETFs outperform complex funds
Simple CTA ETFs (like DBMF) outperform complex hedge fund and mutual fund trend followers due to lower fees and lower implementation costs from trading fewer markets and simpler models. Over the past five years, the average CTA ETF returned 6.1% net per annum, 40 bps higher than the SocGen CTA index, with a higher Sharpe ratio, challenging the assumption that complexity yields higher alpha.
DBMF LONG
Tax-efficient CTA ETF is better
The new Simplify ETF based on the Dynamic Beta index offers a 35 basis point fee, swap-based exposure, and meaningful tax efficiency. It is designed for allocators who need a very low visible fee and passive-like wrapper, making it a superior vehicle to capture the same CTA replication signal as DBMF but in a more tax-efficient and cost-efficient package.
CTA LONG
HIGH
15:48
Apr 09
Apr 09
KRBN
Alternative commodity markets
▾
HIGH
European carbon trends persist despite poor backtest
European carbon (EU ETS) was added to the AQA portfolio in 2016 despite a negative 8-year trend backtest because it met fundamental criteria for an alternative market: structural supply/demand inelasticities and low financialization. It became one of the best-performing markets and has continued to exhibit strong, persistent trends.
KRBN WATCH
Alternative commodities have superior trend properties
Alternative commodity markets (e.g., South African sunflower seeds, US East Coast power, Chinese bitumen, uranium, biofuels, freight) offer fundamentally different risk factors and better trending properties than mainstream commodities or financial markets. Their structural supply/demand inelasticities, low speculative activity, and unique regional/physical drivers produce higher trend quality (autocorrelation) and quantity (drift), providing a diversifying and resilient source of trend-following returns.
Alternative commodity markets WATCH
HIGH
15:00
Apr 06
Apr 06
TLT 1ST
▾
MED
Short bonds on inflation theme.
If the inflation theme continues, trend following will likely go short bonds as rising inflation pressures cause bond prices to fall. This is based on the expectation that inflation remains a key macro driver, leading to a sustained sell-off in fixed income.
TLT SHORT
MED
Choose Sources
Loading sources...