Daily Alpha · Reddit
· Post-Market Alpha · by Buzzberg Research
Reddit debated Anthropic's roughly $265.6 billion of minimum compute commitments, GameStop holders split over expiring warrants, and one poster expects Fed Chair Warsh's press conference to bring another selloff.
Themes on this desk
Anthropic's compute commitments
An r/ValueInvesting post asked whether roughly $265.6 billion of minimum guaranteed compute commitments should be treated as off-balance-sheet liabilities, and an r/smallstreetbets breakdown warned that Amazon and cloud providers act as inv
GameStop warrants
Superstonk posters split: one asks whether dilution is on the way because warrant proceeds may not materialize, one is exiting after five years expecting the stock to tank once the warrants expire worthless, and another stays long, saying t
Highest engagement
by score · day changeA $1.3m AI share portfolio is adding only Google
The author reports a $1.3m AI-focused share portfolio and says Google is the only name they are adding to ahead of an end-of-year rally.
$1.3m bet on AI using shares EOY rally time Only one I'm adding to is Google.
Google is the one name the author is adding.
Source →Poster expects a fifth Warsh press-conference selloff
The poster argues Fed Chair Warsh's four prior appearances each produced intraday market selloffs during his Q&A and expects the same at the Oct 28 press conference.
The Warsh Effect - Will He Go 5 For 5?
The pattern is tied to the Q&A segment of each appearance.
Watch Market action during the Oct 28 press conference Q&A.
Source →NYSE plans binary options on 12 major stocks and ETFs
The post reports NYSE plans all-or-nothing binary options on 12 major stocks and ETFs including Nvidia, Tesla, Apple and SPY, and is exploring earnings-result contracts pending regulatory approval.
Prediction markets are taking over. Now the NYSE wants to bring all-or-nothing bets to Nvidia, Tesla and Apple.
The poster frames it as prediction markets taking over.
Watch Regulatory approval for earnings-result contracts.
Source →Poster bought 200 UPS shares at $94.055 after a drop from $120 to $90
The author bought 200 UPS shares in an IRA at $94.055 after the drop from $120 to $90 and asks whether to hold, buy more or cash out.
How does UPS at 6.5% look?
The post's title puts UPS's dividend yield at 6.5%.
Source →MFIC holder will likely sell after ARCC's cash-and-stock deal
An MFIC holder reports ARCC's cash-and-stock acquisition of MFIC and will most likely sell soon, noting a possible special dividend and a 20%+ price bump.
ARCC to buy MFIC ARCC (largest trading BDC) is buying MFIC for $1.21 in cash and $9.67 in stock.
The holder notes a possible special dividend alongside the 20%+ price bump.
Watch Whether a special dividend is paid.
Source →Most argued
by comments per upvoteReddit long thesis sets a $250 2027 price target
The author cites user growth, rising revenue per user, ad monetization, margin expansion, net cash, buybacks and AI licensing upside to support 2027 targets of $200-$300 and a $500 2030 target.
Reddit ($RDDT) Stock Thesis - $250 2027 Price Target # Disclosure I am currently invested in Reddit (RDDT), and a
AI licensing is part of the upside case alongside advertising.
Watch Revenue per user and ad monetization trends.
Source →Long case for Power Integrations cites a debt-free balance sheet and electricity demand
The author cites a debt-free balance sheet, electricity-demand exposure, proprietary technology, improving profitability and shareholder returns for a long-term bullish case on POWI.
Power Integrations (NASDAQ: POWI) Power Integrations is a semiconductor company specializing in high-voltage power conversion and energy-efficient power management.
The author flags valuation and customer concentration as risks.
Source →IVVD's Phase 3 DECLARATION readout is expected within the week
The post flags an upcoming Phase 3 DECLARATION data readout for IVVD expected within the week, without stating a directional view.
Who’s ready for IVVD? Phase 3 DECLARATION data expected between now and end of week
The post takes no directional view on the readout.
Watch The DECLARATION Phase 3 data.
Source →Enovix holder has been buying all the way down from $7-8
The author holds Enovix, has been buying down since the $7-8 range, and cites next-gen battery TAM and founder TJ Rodgers as reasons for conviction.
ENVX moving like crazy with no news Enovix has been punched down over the years and is heavily shorted, but
The conviction rests on the battery market size and the founder.
Source →Poster is going all-in on the BWET tanker freight ETF
The author is liquidating all stocks to go all-in on the BWET tanker freight futures ETF, citing its 4000% YTD gain and pure-play crude tanker freight exposure.
Dumping all my stock and investing in BWET It's up 4000% this year. Explain why this is a bad idea.
The bet is a pure-play wager on crude tanker freight.
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