Daily Alpha · YouTube
· Midday Alpha · by Buzzberg Research
Who was talking 35 videos · 12 channels
AI de-rating
1 video · 5mBloomberg reported AI weakness spilling into Japanese and Korean banks; Dan Ives called the tech pullback overdone, while Gene Munster said usage data must convert skeptics.
Bloomberg: Asia's AI de-rating is spreading into banks, not just chipmakers
Bloomberg reported Asian equities came under broad pressure as investors questioned AI buildout returns, and weakness in hyperscalers and component suppliers spilled into Japanese and Korean banks tied to AI-related deal flow, lending and overseas expansion. Flows rotated to bonds as Middle East tensions and firmer oil added caution.
Oil
1 video · 56mForward Guidance argued inventories, refining limits and the Brent-WTI spread make oil tightness structural; Bloomberg said the Treasury haven rally paused as crude extended gains.
Forward Guidance: oil's move is becoming a structural supply and refining bottleneck
The hosts argue the oil move is becoming structural because inventories and strategic reserves offer far less buffer than in prior geopolitical episodes, while refining constraints and wide Brent-WTI spreads reinforce tightness. They also see financial conditions tightening across housing, small caps and credit, with AI capex uncertainty adding pressure to equities.
Apple
1 video · 1mBloomberg and CNBC both reported launch queues and tight supply for the $2,000 foldable Duo, with app optimization still a gap.
Bloomberg: iPhone Duo launch draws global queues but supply is the constraint
Bloomberg's Ed Ludlow reported overnight queues in Brooklyn, Beijing and Singapore and delivery estimates stretching to late January, with supply limited by the complexity of the fold and seam. The launch is framed as an attempt to move foldables into the mainstream iPhone line.
SemiAnalysis: ASML patent points to track-based hybrid bonding tool years from launch
SemiAnalysis's patent review says ASML is developing a track-based hybrid bonding tool that moves the wafer to the die, leveraging front-end metrology and overlay. The show says it is unannounced, years from commercialization, and unlikely to displace thermo-compression bonding in HBM before 2029.
The Compound: enterprise AI buyers are starting to demand measurable returns
The hosts reconciled a widely reported affordability squeeze with resilient macro data, then turned to AI, where enterprise buyers are scrutinizing returns, cheaper mid-tier models are gaining traction, and one large platform company posted its first negative free-cash-flow quarter in over a decade.