Daily Alpha · Substack
· Post-Market Alpha · by Buzzberg Research
Capital Flows argues rate-market drivers are misunderstood and will signal the next equity drawdown; Rooster previews a final dollar rally.
Themes on this desk
Rate drivers and equity drawdown
Capital Flows says the rate rally has multiple misunderstood drivers and that the next global equity drawdown will be signaled by rate-market drivers.
Dollar and silver miners
Rooster previews a terminal dollar rally and prefers unleveraged silver-miner exposure at current levels.
Capital Flows: equity drawdown will be signaled by rate drivers
The author asserts that when a drawdown in global equity markets occurs, it 'will be signaled and confirmed by the underlying drivers in interest rates', tying equity risk to rate-market signals.
This frames interest-rate drivers as a leading indicator for equity drawdowns, implying rate-market signals should be monitored as a risk trigger for global equities.
Watch Confirm or invalidate by whether rate-driver signals precede and confirm the next global equity drawdown.
Source →Rooster sees USD rally as a final push before reversal
The title 'USD IS HAVING ITS LAST HOORAH' frames the current dollar strength as a terminal move before a reversal lower. No supporting analysis is available in the preview.
A terminal-dollar thesis reinforces the author's separate DXY resistance call and implies a coming tailwind for dollar-sensitive assets such as metals and commodities.
Watch Confirm or invalidate by whether the dollar index peaks and turns lower after 2026-09-24 rather than extending its rally.
Source →