Skip to report
Next edition in 2532 min Sep 3, 2026, 12:45-23:00 Lisbon
Premarket Alpha Post-Market Alpha

Daily Alpha · Substack

A full-body optical thesis supplied a concrete Credo revenue test, while a public macro preview flagged a possible yen turn.

8letters

Themes on this desk

Yen reversal

Fidenza Macro's public preview argues that the yen may be forming a secular bottom, drawing a parallel with USD/JPY in 2012.

Substack - Outlier Capital

CRDO optical portfolio growth

CRDO's optical portfolio, including DSPs, PICs, and ZeroFlap modules, is guided to exceed $600 million in FY2027, serving as a critical second engine to its AEC business.

The company's ability to scale optical revenue is the primary constraint on its valuation multiple as AEC growth eventually normalizes.

Watch Watch for optical revenue to reach the $600M target; failure to do so may invalidate the platform-growth thesis.

Source →
full text 13126 chars read