Trump’s New Tariffs Are Testing Canada’s Patience

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 26, 2026 at 14:00  |  11:49  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Josh Linville — VP of Fertilizer, StoneX
Pam Schwann — President, Saskatchewan Mining Association
Chrystia Freeland — Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance of Canada

Summary

Former Canadian Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland discusses the new 50% US tariffs on $20 billion of Canadian imports and the rising tensions in USMCA renegotiations. She argues that Canada still has leverage as America's largest export market and a crucial supplier of energy, aluminum, and potash. A separate segment highlights how the Strait of Hormuz conflict is severely tightening global nitrogen and phosphate fertilizer supplies, while tariff-free Canadian potash stands out as a secure alternative for US farmers.

  • The White House announced 50% tariffs on nearly $20 billion in Canadian goods, exempting energy and potash.
  • Freeland says the official rationale is shifting and the tariffs are tied to a contentious USMCA renegotiation.
  • Canadians are increasingly angry, with polling showing more Canadians see the US as a threat than China.
  • Freeland argues that Canada must stand firm and has leverage as the largest US export market and a key supplier of aluminum, energy, and potash.
  • Strait of Hormuz disruptions are blocking a third of global urea trade and key phosphate exports from Iran, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia.
  • Nitrogen and phosphate fertilizer prices have skyrocketed due to fear of supply shortages.
  • Canadian potash, almost entirely produced in Saskatchewan, is tariff-free and critical for global crop yields, with 50% going to US farmers.
Ideas
Josh Linville VP of Fertilizer, StoneX 8:22
Hormuz disruption tightens nitrogen and phosphate supply.
The conflict near the Strait of Hormuz has shut down a critical chokepoint for global fertilizer trade. About one-third of the world's urea, the most-traded nitrogen product, flows through there, and three of the world's top 10 urea exporters (Iran, Qatar, Saudi Arabia) sit behind the strait. Saudi Arabia is also a top-5 phosphate exporter. That supply is stacked up and production is suffering, causing nitrogen and phosphate prices to skyrocket on fear of lack of supply.
Pam Schwann President, Saskatchewan Mining Association 9:49
Tariff-free Canadian potash is a secure fertilizer.
Potash is an essential fertilizer for higher crop yields on less arable land. Canada produces 100% of its potash in Saskatchewan, exports over 98% of it to global markets, and supplies about 50% to US farmers. Crucially, Canadian potash has been kept tariff-free in the new US tariff round, making it a secure and reliable source at a time when nitrogen and phosphate fertilizer supply chains are disrupted by the Strait of Hormuz conflict.
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This Bloomberg Markets video, published July 26, 2026, features Josh Linville, Pam Schwann discussing DBA, Phosphate, SOIL. 2 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Josh Linville, Pam Schwann  · Tickers: DBA, Phosphate, SOIL