February 2 Pre-Market: Gold -11%, Silver -31% Crash After Warsh Fed Chair Nomination, Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -4% Plunge; Will the Korean Stock Market Rally Continue?

[2월2일 #장시작전] 연준의장 워시 지명에 금-11%, 은-31% 폭락 '필반도체 -4%급락' / 한국증시 상승장은 계속될까?
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  February 02, 2026 at 00:21  |  2:46:20  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Choi Chang-gyu — Director, NH Investment & Securities
Hwang Yoo-hyun — Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities
Lee Ju-hyeon — Director, Xangle
Min Jae-gi — Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club

Summary

The show reviewed the shock from Kevin Warsh's nomination as Fed chair, which was read as hawkish and helped trigger historic gold and silver crashes, bitcoin weakness, and a sharp semiconductor selloff. Choi Chang-gyu, Hwang Yu-hyun, Lee Joo-hyun, and Min Jae-ki debated whether the move was a lasting regime shift or a short-term volatility event. The panel stayed cautious near term but identified opportunities in AI semiconductors, Korean value and policy themes, tourism beneficiaries, and selected industrial or materials names.

  • Kevin Warsh's nomination as Fed chair was interpreted as hawkish, pressuring risk assets and lifting the dollar.
  • Gold and silver suffered historic crashes, with margin hikes and forced liquidations spilling into crypto and equities.
  • Panellists debated whether U.S. semiconductor weakness is a buying opportunity or a cyclical warning.
  • Korean market discussion focused on semiconductor leaders, Kosdaq policy, ETF flows, and low PBR valuation.
  • Chinese Spring Festival tourism, asset revaluation, shipbuilding, PCB substrate, and battery-for-robots themes were highlighted.
  • The tone was cautious near term but constructive on AI semiconductors and selected Korean value and tourism names.
Ideas
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 3:36
Gold and silver crash drives sentiment.
After gold and silver crashed from powerful rallies and triggered margin-call liquidations, whether they rebound or keep correcting is a key psychological driver for equities.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 5:14
Korea starts weak, rally possible later.
Korean equities may open lower this week after the MSCI Korea ETF fell 1.68%, as Kevin Warsh's hawkish nomination pressures the dollar and rates, but a renewed rally is possible if dollar strength and long-term U.S. yields stabilize.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 10:21
Redwire offers space-defense autonomous exposure.
Redwire combines space and defense businesses, has strong positioning in autonomous and unmanned systems, sensors, RF, and ISS docking, and appeared in individual net-buying leaders, making it worth watching.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 12:44
Commodity exporters benefit from copper strength.
Peru, Colombia, and Brazil led country returns as copper hit record highs, the dollar weakened, and carry and fund flows favored commodity exporters, but commodity correction raises a question for whether the outperformance persists.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 14:16
Kosdaq policy and ETF flows boost market.
Kosdaq revitalization measures such as venture fund extension, BDC and IMA, pension benchmark inclusion, more research, and value-up disclosures reduce prior distrust, and strong ETF inflows into Kosdaq 150 and leveraged Kosdaq 150 ETFs create mechanical passive buying.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 25:12
AI and supply issues support copper.
Copper remains strong because AI data centers and power-infrastructure investment boost demand while mine accidents, strikes, maintenance, lower output, China demand, soft-dollar and liquidity expectations, and geopolitical shipping risks tighten supply.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 31:52
SK hynix strength favors concentrated ETFs.
SK hynix broke 900,000 won with a strong chart and lifted its semiconductor value chain, and TIGER Korea Top 10 and RISE Large Cap High Dividend TR ETFs offer concentrated exposure with 38% and 33.95% SK hynix weights.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 52:24
Nvidia reaffirms OpenAI investment demand.
Jensen Huang denied reports that Nvidia halted its $100 billion OpenAI investment and said Nvidia will make its largest-ever investment, easing AI-bubble fears and supporting continued AI hardware demand.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 55:02
Buy Samsung and SK hynix dips.
Despite short-term semiconductor correction from Warsh and AI-investment fears, memory importance remains high; Samsung Electronics and SK hynix are AI picks-and-shovels leaders with rising earnings estimates such as Samsung above 200 trillion won and SK hynix over 100 trillion won, so dips near moving averages are buying opportunities.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 56:21
Gold and silver likely peaked.
The record gold and silver selloff looks like a likely peak: silver had its largest drop since the 1980 Hunt brothers episode, gold fell over 9%, the prior rally was excessive, and the trend broke despite possible technical rebounds.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 61:36
Bitcoin breakdown signals confidence crisis.
Bitcoin broke below $80,000 for the first time in over half a year, triggering about $2.5 billion of liquidations and spot ETF outflows, with Bloomberg describing a confidence crisis as levered risk assets unwind.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 72:38
Physical gold gains trust advantage.
A large China fake-gold bank run is damaging trust in paper gold certificates and increasing demand for verifiable physical gold, raising the scarcity value of physical gold even amid short-term volatility.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 74:48
Korea is undervalued versus developed markets.
Korea's PBR is about 1.6x versus roughly 3.2x for developed markets, the U.S. Treasury has highlighted Korea's undervaluation, and government policies are trying to narrow the discount, so market corrections are opportunities.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 76:47
Long-acting obesity deals validate Korean names.
AstraZeneca's roughly 26 trillion won collaboration with China's CSPC validates the obesity market and monthly long-acting GLP-1 opportunity, pointing to related Korean names such as Peptron, G2G Bio, and D&D Pharmatech.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 82:02
Korean chip exports stay strong.
January exports rose 33.9% to a record for the month, led by semiconductors, and Morgan Stanley forecasts Samsung Electronics at around 240 trillion won operating profit and SK hynix at over 170 trillion won, keeping the semiconductor cycle positive.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 84:44
Nvidia denial supports AI infrastructure.
Nvidia's denial of an OpenAI investment halt and pledge to make its largest-ever investment reduces AI-bubble fears and supports AI infrastructure demand.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 97:14
Robot mass production lifts battery suppliers.
Tesla's plan to convert Model S and X lines to Optimus production after Q1 should lead to humanoid robot mass production, requiring batteries; with solid-state not ready, NCM suppliers such as LG Energy Solution and Samsung SDI are likely beneficiaries.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 101:28
Mirae Asset benefits from SpaceX IPO.
Speculation that SpaceX, Tesla, and xAI may combine makes Mirae Asset Securities attractive because its IPO and underwriting role could bring not only fees but also a potentially large equity stake in a huge merged entity.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 103:40
Asset-rich Korean names offer value.
Asset-revaluation themes with real substance such as land, hotels, or holdings screen attractively; Seobu T&D, Harim Holdings, and KCTC have real assets and strong supply-demand, though pullbacks are better entries.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 123:43
Cheap chip equipment names to buy.
The AI semiconductor supply chain remains the market core; although many Korean equipment and materials stocks are expensive, Wonik QnC and Wonik Materials are relatively cheap ways to participate if the sector strengthens.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 128:08
Natural gas faces fading winter demand.
Natural gas fell about 16% as winter passes and weather is not cold enough, signaling fading seasonal demand and further price pressure.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 129:05
SanDisk earnings beat drives outperformance.
SanDisk rose on strong earnings and much better guidance, making it a profitable growth stock that can outperform while other semiconductor names are weak.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 129:36
Generative AI threatens software demand.
U.S. software continues to weaken because generative AI creates uncertainty about whether traditional software use cases will shrink.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 130:41
Semiconductor correction is a buying opportunity.
The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index's 3.8% drop is a profit-taking correction, not a cycle break; memory importance remains and the pullback is an opportunity for investors who missed semiconductors.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 131:00
Defensive sectors gain as semis weaken.
As semiconductor leadership weakens, defensive areas such as telecom, consumer staples, healthcare, and energy attract relative flows; Verizon, T-Mobile, AT&T, and Chevron showed strength.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 132:22
RFHIC benefits from defense GaN.
RFHIC has strong orders and earnings, repeated all-time highs after its January 26 report, and benefits from defense demand and GaN RF power amplifiers, with continued institutional buying.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 134:13
Chinese tourists lift Korea travel names.
About 250,000 Chinese tourists are expected during the February Spring Festival, the weak won and China-Japan tensions improve Korea's travel competitiveness, benefiting hotel, casino, travel, and department-store names such as Lotte Tour Development, Seobu T&D, and Shinsegae.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 138:50
PCB substrate momentum remains strong.
PCB and substrate names are rebounding with Daeduck Electronics making new highs, and Simtech is part of the favorable substrate direction, so the sector remains attractive.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 139:18
NeoTeeth benefits from PCB drill demand.
NeoTeeth is a small-cap supplier of consumable PCB drilling bits to Daeduck Electronics and Simtech, so if those substrate customers stay strong, NeoTeeth should benefit, and institutional research points to a 200 billion won market-cap target.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 140:18
Hyundai Motor stays boxed near 600,000.
Hyundai Motor has had extreme daily swings and lacks strong near-term earnings momentum, so it may remain boxed around 600,000 won and reduce its moving-average gap.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 147:55
Samsung Electro-Mechanics gains Nvidia exposure.
Samsung Electro-Mechanics is being highlighted as an Nvidia-related supplier with MLCC strength and FC-BGA momentum, and analysts raised targets to 350,000 won ahead of a potential breakout.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 148:44
Special vessel orders re-rate shipbuilders.
Shipbuilding targets were raised, with Samsung Heavy Industries reporting consensus-in-line results and Hanwha Ocean positioned for re-rating through special-vessel orders.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 149:27
Hans Biomed enters skin-booster growth.
Hans Biomed is entering the ECM skin-booster market, attracting new analyst coverage and strong supply, as it attempts a business transformation.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 150:38
KSS Shipping has strong order momentum.
KSS Shipping is attracting strong foreign supply and its order momentum looks good, making it a name for interested shipping investors.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 151:06
Protec growth strong but valuation high.
Protec's laser bonder growth expectations are positive and it is outperforming other equipment names, but semiconductor equipment valuations have risen, so a price correction would be a better entry.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 152:13
Chinese tourism lifts Korean cosmetics.
Chinese Spring Festival travel demand could spill over into cosmetics, and target price upgrades for Cosmecca Korea and APR highlight the theme.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published February 02, 2026, features Choi Chang-gyu, Hwang Yoo-hyun, Lee Ju-hyeon, Min Jae-gi discussing GLD, SILVER, EWY, KOSDAQ, RDW, EPU, Colombia equities, EWZ, KOSDAQ 150, KOSDAQ 150 Leveraged ETF, COPPER, 000660.KS, TIGER Korea Top 10 ETF, RISE, NVDA, 005930.KS, BTC, GOLD, AZN, 1093.HK, 087010.KQ, 456160.KQ, 347850.KQ, 373220.KS, 006400.KS, 006800.KS, Seobu T&D, 003380.KQ, KCTC, 074600.KQ, 104830.KQ, UNG, SNDK, IGV, SMH, VZ, TMUS, T, CVX, 218410.KQ, 032350.KS, 006730.KQ, 004170.KS, 353200.KS, 222800.KQ, 085910.KQ, 005380.KS, 009150.KS, 010140.KS, 042660.KS, 042520.KQ, 044450.KS, 053610.KQ, 241710.KQ, 278470.KS. 36 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Choi Chang-gyu, Hwang Yoo-hyun, Lee Ju-hyeon, Min Jae-gi  · Tickers: GLD, SILVER, EWY, KOSDAQ, RDW, EPU, Colombia equities, EWZ, KOSDAQ 150, KOSDAQ 150 Leveraged ETF, COPPER, 000660.KS, TIGER Korea Top 10 ETF, RISE, NVDA, 005930.KS, BTC, GOLD, AZN, 1093.HK, 087010.KQ, 456160.KQ, 347850.KQ, 373220.KS, 006400.KS, 006800.KS, Seobu T&D, 003380.KQ, KCTC, 074600.KQ, 104830.KQ, UNG, SNDK, IGV, SMH, VZ, TMUS, T, CVX, 218410.KQ, 032350.KS, 006730.KQ, 004170.KS, 353200.KS, 222800.KQ, 085910.KQ, 005380.KS, 009150.KS, 010140.KS, 042660.KS, 042520.KQ, 044450.KS, 053610.KQ, 241710.KQ, 278470.KS