Former Richmond Fed Pres. Lacker: The Fed should provide guidance that's more 'two-sided'

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 23, 2026 at 14:29  |  7:38  |  CNBC
Speakers
Jeffrey Lacker — Former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond and Senior Affiliated Scholar at the Mercatus Center

Summary

Former Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker told Squawk Box that the FOMC has been too optimistic on disinflation and that policy is more accommodative than officials believe. He argued the Fed should not look through tariff-driven inflation or assume a weak labor market blocks inflation, and he wants two-sided guidance that prepares markets for possible rate hikes if inflation persists. Lacker said he would not hike immediately but sees little evidence policy is restrictive.

  • Lacker criticized the Fed's disinflation optimism and said policy is not restrictive.
  • He argued a productivity surge could pull forward spending and pressure resources.
  • He rejected the idea that tariff-driven inflation is temporary and can be ignored.
  • He rejected the view that a weak labor market prevents inflation transmission.
  • He would not raise rates immediately but favors two-sided guidance.
  • He warned markets may be too focused on cuts and should prepare for hikes if inflation persists.
  • He discussed how the Fed thinks about potential growth and economic shocks.
Ideas
Jeffrey Lacker Former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond and Senior Affiliated Scholar at the Mercatus Center 1:05
Fed policy too accommodative; rate hikes possible.
Lacker argues the FOMC has been overly optimistic about disinflation and policy is more accommodative than officials think. He says a productivity surge could lead households and firms to pull forward future income gains into current spending, pressuring resources and requiring higher real interest rates. While he would not raise rates immediately, he wants the Fed to give more two-sided guidance and prepare markets for possible rate increases if inflation does not subside or rises, because policy is not restrictive at all and may be accommodative.
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This CNBC video, published January 23, 2026, features Jeffrey Lacker discussing US Interest Rates. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Jeffrey Lacker  · Tickers: US Interest Rates