Avation Post-Mortem with Jeremy Raper $AVAP

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 23, 2026 at 14:26  |  31:13  |  Yet Another Value Podcast
Speakers
Jeremy Raper — Investor

Summary

Jeremy Raper joins Andrew Walker for a postmortem of his activist investment in Avation (AVAP), a UK-listed, Singapore-based regional aircraft lessor. Raper bought a ~20% block at 79p versus tangible book of 140-145p, became largest shareholder, and pushed refinancing, asset sales, purchase-right monetization, and buybacks before exiting around 150p. He says the trade worked but a whole-company sale did not materialize, and current AVAP risk/reward is less attractive after aircraft values rose. The discussion also covers aircraft leasing sector dynamics and the difficulty of behind-the-scenes activism.

  • Jeremy Raper discusses his AVAP investment from sourcing to exit.
  • AVAP was a regional aircraft lessor trading at a deep discount to tangible book.
  • Raper bought a ~20% block at 79p versus tangible book of 140-145p.
  • He became largest shareholder and helped drive refinancing, asset sales, purchase-right monetization, and buybacks.
  • Aircraft values rose about 25%; he exited around a 150p average.
  • A whole-company sale did not close, and he views current risk/reward as less attractive.
  • The episode highlights the operational difficulty and cost of activist campaigns.
  • It also touches on aircraft leasing sector valuations and UK small-cap challenges.
Ideas
Jeremy Raper Investor 4:12
Aircraft leasing discounts offer value.
Aircraft leasing is a large asset pool with only a few public-market vehicles; despite superior long-term track records and high returns on tangible assets, these companies can trade at steep discounts to intrinsic/book value because the market misunderstands the sector or penalizes size/cost of capital. It is fundamentally a cost-of-capital game, so larger, better-funded balance sheets with lower funding costs have a structural advantage.
Jeremy Raper Investor 6:58
Buy AVAP below book, unlock value.
Avation was a UK-listed, Singapore-based regional aircraft lessor with roughly 30-33 planes trading at a large discount to tangible book (shares around 100p, tangible book 140-145p). Jeremy used his aircraft-leasing expertise and bought a ~20% block from a winding-down hedge fund at 79p, becoming the largest shareholder, then pushed for value-unlocking actions: refinancing debt, selling assets, monetizing purchase rights, buying back shares/bonds below par, and exploring a whole-company sale. Aircraft values rose ~25% over the roughly two-year hold and he exited around a 150p average; at 140-150p the risk/reward was much less attractive after the rerating.
Up Next

This Yet Another Value Podcast video, published January 23, 2026, features Jeremy Raper discussing JETS, AVAP. 2 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Jeremy Raper  · Tickers: JETS, AVAP