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Oil Prices Jump After US Strikes Iran | The China Show | 7/8/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 08, 2026 at 05:57  |  1:33:22  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Chris Kennedy — Economic Statecraft Lead, Bloomberg Economics
Christy Tan — Investment Strateg
Garfield Reynolds — Markets Reporter/Editor, Bloomberg
Anthony Stevens — Bloomberg Market Producer
Stephen Engle — Chief North Asian Correspondent, Bloomberg
Si Fu — Goldman Sachs
Haidi Stroud-Watts — Anchor, Bloomberg

Summary

The episode covers US airstrikes on Iran and the oil market reaction, alongside developments in Chinese AI chip ambitions and Hong Kong IPO momentum. Guests present diverse investment views: bullish on oil due to supply risk, bearish on oil from glut, Korean non-AI value as a buffer, Chinese internet rotation, China A-share small-cap AI hardware outperformance, and Hong Kong AI IPO attractiveness. The RBNZ rate hike and related NZD pressure are also discussed.

  • US completes new strikes on Iran, revokes oil sales waiver, escalating Hormuz disruption fears.
  • Oil prices rise but views diverge: one expects robust gains if reserves drain, another sees glut capping spikes.
  • China mulls restricting overseas access to AI models, while DeepSeek and Zhipu plan in-house inference chips.
  • Christy Tan suggests Korean non-AI value stocks below book as a safer play amidst AI volatility.
  • Rotation into Chinese internet names like Tencent and Meituan highlighted as semis face margin peak concerns.
  • Goldman Sachs' Si Fu sees outperformance in China A-share small-cap AI hardware and Hong Kong AI IPOs.
  • RBNZ hikes to 2.5%, but NZD seen under broad pressure from global inflation and geopolitical risks.
Ideas
Chris Kennedy Economic Statecraft Lead, Bloomberg Economics 8:24
Oil upside on Hormuz supply risk
Revocation of Iran oil sales waiver and attacks on Strait of Hormuz create supply disruption risk; global strategic reserves are running low, and if normal traffic through the Strait does not resume soon, oil prices could respond more robustly.
Christy Tan Investment Strateg 20:02
Korean non-AI value stocks as buffer
Amid AI concentration risk and volatility, certain Korean non-AI stocks trading below book value offer earnings buffer and value, providing resilience as AI trades become riskier.
Garfield Reynolds Markets Reporter/Editor, Bloomberg 36:20
NZD to remain under pressure
NZD remains under pressure from higher global inflation, geopolitical disruptions, and a strong USD, despite potential RBNZ rate hike; hawkish tone may not be enough to sustain kiwi.
Anthony Stevens Bloomberg Market Producer 52:06
Chinese internet names like Tencent, Meituan to rally
Rotation from semiconductor names to Chinese internet stocks is underway as semis hit cyclical margin peaks and Chinese hyperscalers lead on software efficiency; Tencent and Meituan are notable beneficiaries of rebalancing into underperforming Hong Kong internet.
Si Fu Goldman Sachs 62:41
China small-cap AI hardware to outperform
Market is rewarding China A-share small/mid-cap tech hardware companies with earnings growth tied to AI capex; they are outperforming larger indices.
Si Fu Goldman Sachs 64:05
Hong Kong AI IPOs outperform post-listing
Hong Kong standalone AI/tech IPOs are delivering strong post-listing returns, driven by high growth and unique AI exposure; favor these over secondary listings.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published July 08, 2026, features Chris Kennedy, Christy Tan, Garfield Reynolds, Anthony Stevens, Si Fu discussing BNO, South Korea non-AI value stocks, NZD, TCEHY, Meituan, China A-share small-cap tech hardware, Hong Kong AI IPOs. 6 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Chris Kennedy, Christy Tan, Garfield Reynolds, Anthony Stevens, Si Fu  · Tickers: BNO, South Korea non-AI value stocks, NZD, TCEHY, Meituan, China A-share small-cap tech hardware, Hong Kong AI IPOs