Semiconductors are essential: Forget past highs and rebalance your portfolio now

Semiconductors are essential" Forget past highs and rebalance your portfolio now | Hong Seon-ae, Park Byeong-chang MP Partners CEO [Yeouido Insight]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 28, 2026 at 09:05  |  41:49  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Park Byeong-chang — Director, MP Partners

Summary

Park Byung-chang, CEO of MP Partners, discusses the historic intraday 10%+ drop in KOSPI, attributing it to forced unwinding of leveraged ETFs and supply-demand distortions rather than fundamental deterioration. He insists that semiconductors remain essential portfolio holdings and will lead any rebound, though their recovery pace will be slower than in H1 due to leverage regulations and a shift toward stable earnings growth. He advises investors to use the widespread selloff to rebalance portfolios, reduce semiconductor weight from extreme levels, and patiently monitor catalysts such as a Fed rate pause and geopolitical resolution that could trigger a sharp market recovery.

  • KOSPI suffered an extremely rare intraday decline exceeding 10%, triggering circuit breakers.
  • The selloff is driven by leveraged ETF unwinding and supply-demand distortion, not a fundamental crisis.
  • Regulatory uncertainty around leverage products and repeated changes in margin requirements intensified the sell-side pressure.
  • Semiconductor stocks (Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix) are deemed indispensable; they will lead the rebound but the recovery slope will be gentler.
  • The market rebound is contingent on the US Federal Reserve signaling a rate pause and on easing geopolitical risks.
  • Investors should now rebalance portfolios, reducing overweight semiconductor positions from H1 extremes and diversifying into other quality areas.
  • The abnormal market requires patience, resisting panic, and preserving both mental and physical well-being.
Ideas
Park Byeong-chang Director, MP Partners 12:50
KOSPI rebound hinges on Fed rate pause.
The current extreme KOSPI selloff is a non-normal unwinding of leveraged ETF positions, not a fundamental breakdown. The market will find a bottom and stage a sharp rebound once two catalysts materialize: (1) the US Federal Reserve gives a clear signal of pausing interest rate hikes, and (2) geopolitical tensions around Iran ease. If rate concerns disappear, the rebound could be stronger than expected. Until then, market distortion and uncertainty dominate, but the setup is worth monitoring for a powerful recovery.
Park Byeong-chang Director, MP Partners 34:08
Hold semiconductors for rebound, slower pace ahead.
Despite the extreme selloff, Korean semiconductor majors Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix must still be held because they will lead the market rebound—historically, the strongest pre-downturn stocks recover first. However, the rebound pace will be slower and less steep than in H1. This is because (1) regulatory curbs on leveraged ETFs will reduce the speculative momentum that fueled the earlier rally, and (2) memory makers now prioritize long-term supply stability (LTA) over maximizing near-term profit growth, flattening earnings trajectories. The index cannot rebound without semiconductors, so a reduced but meaningful position is essential.
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