Ideas
Avoid SpaceX, extreme overvaluation, cash-out scheme.
SpaceX is a deeply unprofitable company with $18.7B revenue, $4.9B loss, and capex exceeding revenue, yet it is valued at $2.5T (94x sales). This extreme overvaluation compares poorly to Amazon. The IPO is a classic cash-out scheme for insiders to transfer risk to public markets. The company should be avoided as a long-term investment.
Avoid upcoming AI IPOs, massive losses.
OpenAI and Anthropic are planning IPOs with projected valuations around $1-1.3T each, despite massive losses and high R&D spending. Their economics are deeply unprofitable, and they face zero-margin competition from Chinese players. The IPOs will allow existing private investors to cash out at extremely elevated prices. These upcoming IPOs should be avoided.
Avoid S&P 500, overconcentrated in AI hyper-scalers.
The S&P 500 is increasingly concentrated in a few hyper-scaler Big Tech stocks (Google, Amazon, Microsoft) that are making massive AI capex bets. If that bet fails, the index will suffer. He is deliberately reducing exposure to the index and shifting toward less correlated deep value stocks.
Buy deep value, dividend aristocrats, small caps.
He recommends focusing on deep value, boring businesses and dividend aristocrats as a smarter, less risky approach than chasing hyped AI stocks. Following Peter Lynch's philosophy, such companies with stable cash flows and low visibility can outperform the index, especially when bought on dips and sold during peaks.
Avoid Bitcoin, AI energy competition threatens mining.
Bitcoin faces severe headwinds as AI compute demands will compete for energy. Governments may ban or restrict bitcoin mining to prioritize AI, and miners are already converting capacity to AI processing. This structural threat could force a protocol change or significantly reduce Bitcoin's viability and mining profitability.
Avoid semiconductors, extreme overbought bubble.
The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) is extremely overbought, with weekly RSI at 90. Similar semiconductor rallies in 2000, 2008, and 2020 preceded sharp crashes of 30-50%. The sector is in a late-stage mania. He is steering clear of semiconductors despite their recent strength.
Buy Adobe, massive buyback, technical reversal.
Adobe (ADBE) is a core long position. The company has an enormous buyback that has reduced shares by 20%, and free cash flow continues to grow. Technically, the stock is forming a bullish wave structure, and he expects a sharp bounce with a target around $400. He is accumulating on the decline.
Long Lyft, network effects, eventual breakout.
Lyft (LYFT) is a smaller ride-hailing company with solid network effects, analogous to Uber. Though the stock is still range-bound and the timing of a breakout is uncertain, the underlying cash flows are stable and it has long-term upside potential. He holds the position but is not adding until a clear breakout occurs.
Long gold and silver via zero-cost collar.
He holds a large zero-cost collar position in gold and silver, which can be rolled indefinitely at no cost. He expects a long-term upside move with high probability, allowing him to eventually profit or break even. The position is structured to be essentially risk-free while waiting for the breakout.
Watch Rocket Lab breakdown, crash risk.
Rocket Lab (RKLB) is currently range-bound and overvalued on fundamentals, but a technical breakdown below a key green support line would trigger a sharp crash. He suggests speculators could play the downside only after that level is decisively broken, as it would signal a waterfall decline.
Long Russian RTS Index, massive triangle breakout.
The Russian RTS Index (dollar-denominated) has been in a massive consolidation triangle since 2008 (18 years). This pattern suggests a multi-year bullish breakout of 5–10+ years could be ahead, potentially triggered by the end of the war. He sees it as a worthwhile long-term investment despite the geopolitical risks.
This Dmitry Solodin video, published June 19, 2026,
features Dmitry Solodin
discussing SPCX, OPENAI, ANTHROPIC, SPY, IWM, NOBL, BTC, SOXX, ADBE, LYFT, GLD, SILVER, RKLB, RTS Index.
11 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.
Speakers:
Dmitry Solodin
· Tickers:
SPCX,
OPENAI,
ANTHROPIC,
SPY,
IWM,
NOBL,
BTC,
SOXX,
ADBE,
LYFT,
GLD,
SILVER,
RKLB,
RTS Index
