KOSPI Breaks Through 4,400 in One Leap; Is This Year's Key Keyword KOSPI?

[26.01.05. 오후 방송 전체보기] 코스피, 단숨에 4,400선 돌파🐎올해 핵심 키워드는 코스피?!
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 05, 2026 at 12:32  |  5:52:10  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Kim Jang-yeol — Reporter, The Bell
Lee Jae-kyu — PB Deputy Manager, SK Securities
Park Geun-hyung — Director
Lee Eun-taek — Director
Kim Si-deok — Urban Literature Scholar
Lee Joo-ho — Reporter
Jeong Seung-gyu — Pharmacist

Summary

The broadcast focuses on KOSPI breaking through 4,400 in a semiconductor-led rally, with guests debating Samsung Electronics, SK hynix, memory supercycle, equipment/materials, nuclear, defense, bio and AI power infrastructure. Later segments cover Venezuela oil geopolitics, KB Securities’ macro view on 1Q easing and 2Q risk, the history of medicines, and semiconductor-cluster effects on Gyeonggi/Chungcheong real estate. The main market implication is that semiconductors remain the dominant Korean equity theme, but short-term overheating and 2Q macro risks warrant selective profit-taking and rotation into narrower themes.

  • KOSPI surged to 4,450 on heavy foreign buying and semiconductor strength.
  • Samsung Electronics and SK hynix were central, with Samsung preferred by some analysts on valuation and DRAM profitability.
  • Nuclear/SMR, defense, bio, solid-state batteries and semiconductor equipment/materials were highlighted as rotation ideas.
  • Park Geun-hyung also flagged Korean refiners, AI data-center power infrastructure, shipbuilding and Lotte Tour Development.
  • Lee Eun-taek argued 1Q equities are favorable on dovish monetary policy, while 2Q carries tightening risk.
  • Venezuela oil, drug history and semiconductor-cluster real-estate impacts were covered in later segments.
Ideas
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 7:37
Memory shortage broadens beyond AI to legacy.
Global memory shortage is broadening from AI/HBM into legacy DRAM and related equipment; 4Q server DRAM prices rose over 50% and 1Q forecasts are higher, so the semiconductor upcycle is not just an Nvidia story and Korean memory names can keep re-rating.
Lee Jae-kyu PB Deputy Manager, SK Securities 13:52
Defense demand supports Korean defense names.
Defense held up without specific events and is attracting money over shipbuilding; Russia/NATO tensions and self-defense budget increases should keep Korean defense names strong.
Lee Jae-kyu PB Deputy Manager, SK Securities 33:51
KOSPI speed excessive; trim some profits.
KOSPI jumped 150 points in two days to 4,450, which is excessive speed; investors with gains should take some profits or reduce weight, and credit-related supply distortions could cause a shakeout.
Lee Jae-kyu PB Deputy Manager, SK Securities 34:50
Buy semiconductor equipment and materials next.
If Samsung Electronics and SK hynix are already stretched, late investors should look at semiconductor equipment/materials; HBM layer count increases drive demand for EO Technics and KCTech, and materials/parts tend to follow equipment.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 52:15
Hanmi Semiconductor has multiple upside catalysts.
Hanmi Semiconductor is rallying on multiple catalysts: Micron strength, expectations that Samsung’s HBM4 will need its equipment, upcoming US IR meetings, and a new EMI shield product for space equipment; it can challenge its prior high and analyst target range.
Lee Jae-kyu PB Deputy Manager, SK Securities 56:25
Nuclear tax credits drive Doosan upside.
SMR/nuclear is getting policy support as a national strategic technology with large tax credits, and the 11th power plan raises nuclear’s share; Doosan Enerbility saw meaningful volume and should benefit.
Lee Jae-kyu PB Deputy Manager, SK Securities 57:51
Solid-state battery theme merits exposure.
Hyundai Motor’s solid-state battery news is positive for the solid-state theme; Samsung SDI is expected to be earliest with 2027-28 commercialization, and Korea has top solid-state technology, making it the best way to play secondary batteries.
Lee Jae-kyu PB Deputy Manager, SK Securities 60:58
Bio is next after semiconductors.
Bio is next after semiconductors; Celltrion is benefiting from biosimilar distribution and a Lilly plant acquisition, ABL Bio is the sector leader, and Orum Therapeutics’ DAC technology looks undervalued versus Aimed Bio with more upside.
Korean semiconductor supercycle remains intact.
Semiconductors remain the leading KOSPI sector as AI infrastructure investment and memory price increases drive earnings upgrades; foreign buying is broad and Samsung/SK hynix combined market cap is at a record share of KOSPI.
Samsung preferred over SK hynix.
Samsung Electronics is preferred over SK hynix because Citi lifted its target to 200,000 won on 155 trillion won 2026 operating profit, its PBR is lower, and commodity DRAM profitability now exceeds HBM, leaving a wider target-price gap.
Shipbuilding earnings revisions support sector.
Shipbuilding and shipbuilding materials have high EPS revisions and 1Q/2Q earnings could surprise positively, giving the sector stability as investors rotate out of crowded semis.
AI power infrastructure demand rising.
AI factories are shifting to 800VDC power architecture to cut current, losses and heat; high-voltage DC, SST, DC breakers and capacitors should see structural growth, favoring LS Electric, LS Materials, Vinatech, Vertiv and Delta Electronics.
Korean refiners benefit from cheaper heavy crude.
Venezuelan heavy crude returning to the market could lower Asian OSP, allowing Korean refiners to buy cheaper feedstock and improve margins; S-Oil, GS, SK Innovation and SK Gas are beneficiaries.
Space aerospace sector has positive outlook.
The new space race, Artemis, KASA satellite plans and low-orbit communications are accelerating, supporting a positive outlook for Korean aerospace/space companies.
Entertainment dips are buying opportunities.
Entertainment/music stocks fell on Hanryu restriction concerns, but Shinhan expects a 2026 big cycle with 7 trillion won revenue and 1 trillion won operating profit; dips are opportunities to expand weight.
Lotte Tour selloff looks overdone.
Lotte Tour Development fell on weak December metrics, but a large baccarat event likely delayed high-roller demand into February, so the selloff looks overdone.
Lee Eun-taek Director 163:48
First-quarter equities favorable before second-quarter risk.
In a bull market monetary policy dominates; 1Q should be favorable because inflation is likely to undershoot and the Fed/new chair will lean dovish, so investors should take profits early before 2Q tightening risk.
Lee Eun-taek Director 202:52
Semiconductor over-ordering cycle is next.
After the restocking cycle, semiconductors may enter an over-ordering cycle as ASIC competition breaks Nvidia’s monopoly and customers hoard memory, similar to pandemic inventory competition; this supports semis beyond normal cycle.
Lee Eun-taek Director 211:48
Soft AI themes benefit from easing.
If monetary policy becomes more accommodative, second-order “soft AI” themes such as space rockets, SMR/nuclear and computing tend to perform; watch for momentum and buy on confirmation.
Kim Si-deok Urban Literature Scholar 296:43
Yongin real estate is too late.
Buying Yongin land or real estate now is too late; high-skilled semiconductor workers are more likely to live in Dongtan, while Yongin lacks infrastructure and could lose residents.
Kim Si-deok Urban Literature Scholar 307:48
Dongtan real estate benefits from chip cluster.
Yongin’s semiconductor cluster may benefit Dongtan more than Yongin because Dongtan already has housing, hospitals, KTX/SRT and transport links; a new tunnel would make commuting even easier, so Dongtan still has upside.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published January 05, 2026, features Kim Jang-yeol, Lee Jae-kyu, Park Geun-hyung, Lee Eun-taek, Kim Si-deok discussing 005930.KS, 000660.KS, Korean semiconductor sector, Korean defense sector, EWY, Korean semiconductor equipment/materials sector, 030200.KS, 029460.KS, 042700.KS, 034020.KS, Korean nuclear/SMR sector, 006400.KS, Solid-state battery sector, ABL Bio, 068270.KS, Orum Therapeutics, Korean shipbuilding sector, 010120.KS, 417200.KQ, 126340.KQ, VRT, 2308.TW, 010950.KS, 078930.KS, 096770.KS, SK Gas, Korean aerospace/space sector, Korean entertainment/music sector, 032350.KS, Korean equities, SPY, SMH, ARKX, XLK, Yongin real estate, Dongtan real estate. 21 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Kim Jang-yeol, Lee Jae-kyu, Park Geun-hyung, Lee Eun-taek, Kim Si-deok  · Tickers: 005930.KS, 000660.KS, Korean semiconductor sector, Korean defense sector, EWY, Korean semiconductor equipment/materials sector, 030200.KS, 029460.KS, 042700.KS, 034020.KS, Korean nuclear/SMR sector, 006400.KS, Solid-state battery sector, ABL Bio, 068270.KS, Orum Therapeutics, Korean shipbuilding sector, 010120.KS, 417200.KQ, 126340.KQ, VRT, 2308.TW, 010950.KS, 078930.KS, 096770.KS, SK Gas, Korean aerospace/space sector, Korean entertainment/music sector, 032350.KS, Korean equities, SPY, SMH, ARKX, XLK, Yongin real estate, Dongtan real estate