Ideas
Commodity supercycle has years to run.
Historically commodity bull markets last 10-20 years, so betting the current rally is over would mean the shortest commodity supercycle ever; he was early and sees gold reaching $5,000.
Still long precious metals stocks.
He has not sold a single precious metals stock because the trend remains intact and his targets have not been hit, despite daily 4% moves; sticking to plan avoids acting on emotions.
Betting on consumer discretionary rotation.
Consumer discretionary is making new all-time highs on both cap-weighted and equal-weighted bases even as consumer sentiment sits at record lows; because it is the only offensive sector that has underperformed, he has been betting on rotation into it.
Prefer Visa and Mastercard for consumer.
Rather than relying on the bifurcated consumer discretionary sector, with travel strong and restaurants weak, he prefers Visa and Mastercard as a cleaner signal of consumer spending and behavior.
Long MicroStrategy on false breakdown.
MicroStrategy formed a false breakdown after year-end low liquidity and tax-loss selling; he got long aggressively yesterday with a tight time stop, watching the anchored VWAP near 97 for a squeeze.
Already long Coinbase for crypto.
He is already in Coinbase as an existing crypto-related holding while adding MicroStrategy after confirmation.
Fade bearish magazine covers, buy stocks.
When mainstream magazine covers feature bearish charts or bubble warnings, take the other side; since The Economist's cover about markets toppling the economy, micro caps, small caps, midcaps and transports rallied, so buying stocks on such covers has worked.
Costco and Walmart are expensive.
Costco and Walmart are not tech but trade around 40 times earnings; historically, buying such well-known consumer names at expensive valuations has led to poor outcomes, so he sees them at least on the way to bubble territory.
International stocks outperform US.
A year ago he expected international to outperform the US and the dollar to get smoked; that worked, with emerging markets ex-China up 35%, emerging markets up 34%, ACWI ex-North America up 32%, and EAFE up 30%, so non-US markets are in a broad bull market.
Industrials and transports confirm bull market.
Industrials and transports indexes are both making all-time highs together, which Dow Theory views as confirmation of a bull market; he frames it as confirmation, not a new signal.
Semis still lead tech higher.
Semiconductors are making all-time highs on a relative basis even as mega-cap tech and software lag, which suggests the broader tech bull market is not broken.
Avoid Microsoft and Meta weakness.
He is not ready to buy weakness in mega-cap tech; Microsoft looks heavy and Meta looks lifeless, with Microsoft worse than Meta.
Small caps may finally outperform.
The Russell 2000 to large-cap ratio has built a large multi-year base since 2021; small-cap momentum, industrials, materials, technology and financials are all at all-time highs, suggesting small caps may finally outperform.
Large biotech basket looks strong.
Biotech is at its highest level since 2021; while single-name biotech has tape-bomb risk, a basket of larger biotech names above $1 billion market cap reduces that risk and is attractive.
Small-cap financials break out higher.
Small-cap financials, mostly small banks and regionals, are forming a key base and making all-time highs; he thinks this base resolves much higher.
Energy is the trade for 2026.
Energy has a massive long-term base similar to gold before its breakout; it is underowned, the energy versus tech ratio is improving, and he is long and getting more long energy and oil and gas for 2026.
Long Exxon toward $150.
He is long Exxon and does not understand why it has not already reached $150, given the energy setup.
Oil services set to rip.
Oil-services names are trying to break above long-term lows, are underowned, and could rip this year with only a small help from crude; services can move without a huge crude rally.
Long Solaris Energy.
He is long Solaris Energy; the chart is acting well and it is in the oil and gas space, though he is vague on fundamentals.
Silver can reach $100.
After showing extreme attempts to short silver, he says silver has a $100 move written all over it and thinks it will happen.
Dollar above 100 is a risk.
He had been expecting dollar weakness and was long the euro, British pound, Swiss franc and EM FX, which worked; now if the dollar breaks above 100, that would be a problem for stocks, international equities, silver and commodities.
Watch bonds for volatility pickup.
Bonds have been dead, and Vanguard's 40/60 recommendation is notable; if volatility picks up in the bond market, that would be a big problem, so bonds are a risk to watch.
Long Morgan Stanley and Goldman.
Morgan Stanley has been on the best-stocks list for months and has a very well-behaved uptrend; its business lines around IPOs, M&A, asset management, net interest margin and trading are all favorable. Goldman Sachs is the same trade with higher beta.
Global financials are ripping.
Global financials, including European financials, Japanese financials and US money-center banks, are all ripping, and there is no US bull market without financials, so the group is a key bullish confirmation.
KLA fine above 15.25.
KLA is parabolic and hard to chase, but the gap is evidence of relentless buying pressure; as long as it holds above 15 1/4, the semiconductor uptrend is intact.
LRCX needs to hold 236.
Lam Research is not as parabolic as KLA, but he would not buy today; if it can hold above the 236 level from the dot-com bubble highs, it can keep going higher, though expect volatile 10% pullbacks.
Buying CBRE for breakout.
After Josh Brown's pitch, JC was convinced: CBRE is consolidating below resistance, is the blue-chip commercial real estate name, has shifted to an asset-light recurring-revenue model, and he is buying now with targets of 185 then 260.
First Solar chart is a mess.
The First Solar chart is a mess with no clear entry or exit, so he cannot bring himself to write it up; he prefers Array in solar.
Baker Hughes breakout can double.
Baker Hughes is breaking out above 50, a momentous long-term move; crude has not even rallied yet, and when it does the stock should really go, with potential to $100.
This The Compound News video, published January 16, 2026,
features JC Parets, Josh Brown
discussing DBC, GLD, GDX, XLY, V, MA, MSTR, COIN, SPY, COST, WMT, VXUS, EEM, EFA, XLI, IYT, SMH, MSFT, META, IWM, XBI, Large-cap biotech, Small-cap financials, KRE, XLE, XOM, OIH, SEI, SILVER, DXY, TLT, MS, GS, XLF, EUFN, DXJ, KBE, KLAC, LRCX, CBRE, FSLR, BKR.
29 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.
Speakers:
JC Parets,
Josh Brown
· Tickers:
DBC,
GLD,
GDX,
XLY,
V,
MA,
MSTR,
COIN,
SPY,
COST,
WMT,
VXUS,
EEM,
EFA,
XLI,
IYT,
SMH,
MSFT,
META,
IWM,
XBI,
Large-cap biotech,
Small-cap financials,
KRE,
XLE,
XOM,
OIH,
SEI,
SILVER,
DXY,
TLT,
MS,
GS,
XLF,
EUFN,
DXJ,
KBE,
KLAC,
LRCX,
CBRE,
FSLR,
BKR
