President Trump: Surprised by stock market comeback amid Iran war, thought Dow would be down 20%

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  April 21, 2026 at 13:37  |  5:13  |  CNBC
Speakers

Summary

President Trump discusses the Iran conflict and its unexpected impact on financial markets, expressing surprise at the stock market's resilience and lower oil prices. He attributes oil price stability to rerouting of supply to US regions like Texas, Louisiana, and Alaska, and claims a quick victory in the war.

  • Trump surprised by Dow near 50,000 despite Iran war.
  • Oil prices at 90, lower than expected 200.
  • Boats finding alternative oil sources in Texas, Louisiana, Alaska.
  • Trump claims quick victory in Iran war within five months.
  • He emphasizes not rushing into a deal with Iran.
  • Market shows unexpected strength amid geopolitical tensions.
  • Discussion on Strait of Hormuz importance and workarounds.
  • Trump compares war durations to highlight administration efficiency.
Trade Ideas
Donald Trump President of the United States 2:06
Oil prices capped by alternative sources.
Oil prices are at 90 instead of the expected 200 due to boats finding alternative sources, reducing dependence on Middle East oil and capping price increases.
Donald Trump President of the United States 2:13
US oil regions benefit from Hormuz disruption.
Due to disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, boats are rerouting to oil-producing regions like Texas, Louisiana, and Alaska, increasing their importance and activity in oil production.
Donald Trump President of the United States 2:44
Market resilient amid Iran conflict.
Trump expresses surprise that the stock market (Dow and S&P 500) has not fallen despite the Iran war, having expected a 20% drop, indicating market resilience in the face of geopolitical conflict.
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