Summary
RBC CEO Dave McKay sees a risk-on market fueled by insatiable AI demand, making him bullish on AI semiconductors, RBC stock, and crude oil. He views Canada as entering an unprecedented decade of opportunity, driven by energy exports, rare earths, and infrastructure. He also expects a bumpy summer for oil prices and persistent energy inflation, while noting that SaaS valuation concerns are already priced in.
- Markets are risk-on with a huge appetite for new issues, especially technology and AI compute/memory.
- RBC's own stock is drawing the strongest foreign interest in years, aided by its private AI tech stack with Nvidia.
- AI infrastructure demand is insatiable, driving capital raising across debt and equity.
- Canada is poised for an unprecedented decade of growth via energy exports, food, rare earths, and diversification.
- Canadian oil exports could expand by 2 million barrels per day, with pipeline announcements imminent.
- Global oil prices will stay bumpy and elevated this summer due to depleted reserves and slow supply adds.
- US economic momentum remains strong, led by tech, while Canada is recovering with positive jobs and housing data.
- SaaS valuations face headwinds, but the market has already repriced that risk, avoiding a default cycle.