Bob Elliott
· Nonconsensus
· March 10, 2026 at 10:41
· ⏱ 4 min read
| Read on Substack ↗
Summary
The author argues that investors are complacent about the risk of a new oil shock, forgetting the steep losses across all financial assets during the last major oil price spike in 2022. The market's recent relief at a temporary oil price reversal highlights this "amnesia."
•Investors seem to have forgotten the severe market impact of the last major oil shock in 2022.
•The previous 50% spike in oil prices led to steep losses across nearly all financial assets.
•Currently, the market appears to expect little to no negative impact from a potential future surge in energy prices.
•A recent intraday reversal in oil prices was met with widespread relief, indicating underlying sensitivity to energy price movements.