The Sovereign Quantum Trade

Asymmetrical Bets · Asymmetrical Bets · June 03, 2026 at 11:30 · ⏱ 10 min read  | Read on Substack ↗
Summary
The U.S. government's $2B CHIPS Act equity investment in nine quantum computing companies is framed as a legitimate sector re-rating event, mirroring past sovereign stakes in MP Materials and Intel. The article educates readers on quantum computing modalities and announces a paid ranking of quantum stocks, but reveals no current personal positions or explicit actionable picks in the free portion.
  • The Trump Administration committed $2.013 billion of CHIPS Act funding for minority, non-controlling equity stakes in nine quantum companies.
  • IBM received the largest share at $1 billion to launch a foundry called Anderon; GlobalFoundries got $375 million; Infleqtion, D-Wave, and Rigetti each received roughly $100 million.
  • Post-announcement stock moves: INFQ +86.9%, QBTS +64.4%, RGTI +61.7%, IONQ +47.4%, IBM +30.1%.
  • The author previously flagged Infleqtion at $8 during Nvidia GTC, and it later hit $20 on June 2, noting it ships real product to NASA, the DoD, and the UK government.
  • The author's capital and interest remain in AI infrastructure sectors with near-term earnings, not in quantum computing for short-term gains.
  • The article provides an educational overview of five qubit modalities (superconducting, trapped ion, neutral atom, photonic, annealing) and lists public plays for each.
Read time 10 min
Length 10,005 chars
Category finance
Ideas
Asymmetrical Bets Substack author, Asymmetrical Bets
Infleqtion is highlighted as a neutral atom quantum company already shipping products to NASA, DoD, and the UK government, trading ~40% below IPO price at sub-$2B market cap, and receiving ~$100M in C
Infleqtion is highlighted as a neutral atom quantum company already shipping products to NASA, DoD, and the UK government, trading ~40% below IPO price at sub-$2B market cap, and receiving ~$100M in CHIPS Act equity — a combination of real revenue and government backing that the author implies is undervalued relative to peers. Risk: Quantum sector remains early-stage and speculative; Infleqtion's slow gate speeds and atom loss are noted as drawbacks; author's own capital is not in quantum.
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