r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Options Trading Thursday - May 21, 2026
u/AutoModerator ·
Reddit — r/stocks
· May 21, 2026 at 09:30
· ⬆ 10 pts
· 💬 133 comments
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AI Summary
Summary
Dominant bearish sentiment on SpaceX IPO due to $4.9B net loss, massive AI CapEx ($7.7B in Q1), and reliance on "community adjusted EBITDA" smoke and mirrors.
AAPL quietly recovered from $240 to ATH (~$290), showing resilience after early-2026 slide — no earnings discussed, just price action.
Notable disagreement: Some may have believed SpaceX was profitable, but the S-1 reveals otherwise; community consensus is strongly negative on the IPO.
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[+7] u/elgrandorado: Seeing that SpaceX S-1 prospectus is nightmare fuel for any sane investor looking to buy into the IPO.
Net Loss of $4.9 billion dollars in 2025. I thought the company was profitable with thin operating margins, but I guess that was their community adjusted EBITDA making the rounds. How the hell are you going to present EBITDA when your business is capital intensive by nature?
Their AI "business" is incinerating cash, $7.7 billion in CapEx for Q1, larger than Space and Connectivity combined.
Yikes I thought this was a more stable business able to use it's Starlink and satellite launch business units to fully offset the AI spend, but nope just an insane amount of smoke and mirrors.
Edit: If S&P Global decides to fast-track this steaming pile of garbage in the S&P 500, I'm going to sell out of my entire retirement holding and allocate elsewhere. Let's see how the index funds manage this. The QQQ is already bending over for Anthropic, SpaceX, and OpenAI.
[+5] u/UnObtainium17: AAPL quietly back to ath after sliding from $290 to $240 early this year.
SpaceX 2025 net loss of $4.9B; Q1 2026 CapEx $7.7B > Space+Connectivity combined; AI business burning cash. IPO hype vs. reality of negative FCF/high capex creates selling pressure post-listing; index inclusion risk (S&P 500/QQQ) may force passive buyers but fundamentals unsupportable. Avoid SpaceX IPO — capital-intensive, unprofitable, AI spending outpaces core revenue. S&P 500 fast-track could create short-term buying pressure; Starlink may eventually offset spend.
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