r/Stocks Daily Discussion Monday - Apr 13, 2026

u/AutoModerator · Reddit — r/stocks · April 13, 2026 at 10:50 · ⬆ 4 pts · 💬 6 comments | View on Reddit ↗

AI Summary

Summary

Only one comment provided for analysis, discussing global index futures performance.
No specific tickers, earnings, or actionable trade theses were mentioned.
Sentiment is limited to a single observation about pre-market conditions being less severe than feared.

AI Summary

Summary

The dominant theme is overwhelming bullishness, with users heavily mocking "doomer bears" who expected a market crash due to a new oil blockade.
Tech sector earnings and upcoming bank earnings are expected to be very strong, driving the market higher despite macroeconomic shocks.
There is a notable consensus that the market has already priced in the geopolitical risks (Iran/strait blockade), though some users express confusion over the disconnect between spot oil prices and futures.

AI Summary

Summary

S&P 500 has turned positive YTD, causing bearish "doom and gloomers" to capitulate despite ongoing geopolitical tensions.
Significant debate regarding the Iran blockade and oil supply; some believe it is priced in, while others warn of a delayed supply shock.
Clear interest in rotating toward fundamentally strong tech (MSFT, TSM) while avoiding regulatory/lawsuit risks in social media (META).
Disagreement exists on whether the market is ignoring the reality of the Persian Gulf oil tanker halt or if the Fed's reaction to inflation is the only metric that matters.

Score 4

Comments 6

▶ Full Post Text

[+6] u/Apprehensive_Law7629: Topix (Japan) closed at -0.4%, Europe is at -0.7% and S&amp;P futures are at -0.6%. Not that bad considering the forecast of a bloody Monday no?

[+15] u/gummi_eater: Lol at the people that sold.

[+12] u/FoodCooker62: Oil up 8% and futures barely down. Markets are so ready to meme.

[+12] u/BogleDick: LMAO another L for the doomer bears. Get your bingo cards ready for “blatant market manipulation”, “taco”, “fake market”,”nothing is based on reality anymore”. 

Meanwhile, revenue and earnings outlooks continue to climb and the top companies in the market are well positioned.

[+10] u/reaper527: sure is blood red like reddit predicted last night /s

[+8] u/NotGucci: LOL. So many posts about why market is not crashing.

You know bears have lost the narrative.

Guys the market had already priced this in. Bottoms, and tops are formed way before news hits.

[+8] u/thegame42069: Dumb fu\*\*ing bears.

[+8] u/ConsciousScar7821: What happened to the “glad I bought puts” guy from the weekend thread on the blockade? Lol.

[+8] u/Ianpull: Reddit doomers going to retire at 100

[+8] u/Potential_Salt_5780: King of bankruptcies thinks he can set up a toll booth on the strait.

[+7] u/thegame42069: S&amp;P officialy green 7000 is not a meme. Also geez NBIS is a monster. I sold around 135 and having some regrets.

[+7] u/Peshhhh: the market will never go down again

[+7] u/Choice_Potato_6279: r/stocks in shambles right now 😂

[+6] u/Wide_Air_4702: The tech sector is leading the S&amp;P 500’s earnings charge with first-quarter profit estimates rising more than any other sector.   
  
Profit estimates are up 7.9% since December 31, hitting 45% year-over-year-growth, according to FactSet.

[+6] u/Jaamun100: Kind of weird that oil and stocks are going up at the same time

[+6] u/thenuttyhazlenut: Funny, all the jokes about us being green today turned out to be true

[+6] u/jrex035: Oh look, Barak Ravid from Axios out with another "actually the Iranians are desperate for a deal too" story this morning, like clockwork

[+6] u/456M: AVUV is basically back to ATH and is up 13% YTD.

[+6] u/Serraph105: The S&amp;P is about 130 points away from getting back to where it was in February, so that's kind of exciting.

[+5] u/lamedogninety: Market jumped almost ten percent in the past two weeks and it’s not going back down. Bank earnings will be good and rest of the earnings will likely also be good. Probably 700 by may

[+5] u/Retropixl: Software cooking today

[+5] u/iamjimmy18: Market is barely reacting to the new blockade. It's only down -0.25%.  
Does it mean that the economy is insulated from oil price shocks? 
Why is there such a big difference between spot oil price and futures?

[+5] u/E_STACKS: NBIS on a generational run

[+5] u/ReasonableLeader1500: The constant debate and ridicule between bears and bulls here is ridiculous. Are we not all equally bears and bulls at some point in our lives?

[+13] u/LanceX2: I love green but this is 100% manipulation.

[+12] u/Toronto2Calgary: If I listened to this sub every time they said the sky was falling I’d be so broke right now

[+12] u/subpar321: S&amp;P now positive YTD, nice work guys

[+10] u/_hiddenscout: After all my time of posting here, one of things that I don’t think I’ll ever understand is the people who post the same thing daily or multiple times a day lol.

[+10] u/fakemedicines: Sad the day had to end th indices wanted to keep going up

[+9] u/FarrisAT: Crude oil fell 6% after Trump tweeted that 34 ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz on April 12th. 

The source he cited, Kpler, actually wrote that “on April 12th only 3-4 ships passed through the Strait.”

Makes you ponder.

[+9] u/maxpain2011: How much yall up today?

[+8] u/Love-for-everyone: Doom and gloomers melt down.

[+8] u/_hiddenscout: Hhaha, made a post about some under the radar space stocks and now Morgan Stanley came out with a list today with basically all the names I had.

[+7] u/AJ_Grey: We are living in a Southpark episode

[+6] u/wynveen: Blockade is priced in

[+6] u/Icy-Sheepherder-7595: Anyone else buying MSFT like there's no tomorrow? I am even considering selling my META shares to buy more. 

Cost on MSFT is $395 and META is $595. I'm a bit skeptical on the social media addiction lawsuit still and MSFT seems to be cheaper compared to its history, barely above Liberation Day max fear levels while META is still a good amount above those levels. 

Not to mention MSFT has way more real world utility and staying power than META which honestly is just a social media slop addiction machine, yes it makes money but honestly I understand the lawsuit now after looking into it, I pretty much bought on the basis that it's addicting, something about that logic doesn't sit well with me after assessing the stock more, and also when I bought in initially MSFT was still near its ATH so maybe I get out now and throw it in or hold the cash on the sidelines in case the orange man has another tantrum soon.

I also have 5x the amount of MSFT as I do META so maybe I just wait it out but I'm not trying to miss a great opportunity. It's looking a lot like GOOG did last year so I'm just heavily considering trimming even my good holds for it since it's still this cheap. Should I wait for upcoming earnings? Do nothing? 

Obviously not asking for like real financial advice but just curious how others are moving. I poured in almost $40k into MSFT the last two months, I don't see really anything else that's as cheap with what is likely barely any risk attached. But I know now that I typed this out I'll probably eat my words on that's statement haha.

[+6] u/Direct_Remove509: So we are now green since Feb 28. Very interesting

[+6] u/EliteAsFuk: If you're trading oil, check out What's Going on With Shipping on YouTube every day. Sal gives great info without partisan hackery.

[+6] u/FarrisAT: Okay so should we triple blockade Iran since it’s bullish?

[+6] u/FarrisAT: Remember. Oil traded up to $100 in January 2022 while stocks remained at record highs. 

Same for in 2014. And in 2011. And in 2007. 

The question is simply if the Fed reacts to a spike in inflation with tighter monetary conditions. 

If they simply call 10% inflation as transitory, then nominal stock values should actually rise ad paretum.

[+6] u/FarrisAT: The final pre-war Persian Gulf oil tankers arrive this week. After that, none will arrive for ~45 days even if the Strait is opened up.

[+5] u/BradBrady: Timing the market is the stupidest thing and never works 

It’s pretty simple, if you believe in a stock long term, just buy it no matter what

If you don’t then that’s what ETFs are for

[+5] u/bootchmagoo: and just like that, the market erased the whole Iran down move.

[+5] u/outofthisgalaxy: Some good news on taiwan semiconductor target… BofA Securities has raised TSMC stock price target to $500 based on strong AI demand.

Once Iran related volatility has calmed down TSMC stands to do really well as fundamentals remain strong.

PS: on the Iran war… I think because US Midterm elections are months away, and Trump will want to stabilise the situation before election campaigning begins, the whole situation will be stabilised over coming weeks. Not necessarily resolved, but stabilised.

Link to BofA target price news:

https://in.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/bofa-raises-tsmc-stock-price-target-to-500-on-strong-ai-demand-93CH-5333729

[+5] u/MutaliskGluon: Oh man once the market decides to come to terms with what just happened to the oil supply for the next year or so its gonna be messy.

Or the market could just stick its hand over its ears and go na na na na na i cant hear you like my 5 year old does

[+5] u/NoPickle6821: Sp is almost green on the ytd

Ideas

r/stocks community Reddit community discussion

The small-cap value ETF (AVUV) is back to all-time highs and is up 13% YTD. The return to ATHs indicates strong underlying breadth and a rotation into value/small caps alongside mega-cap tech. Long AVUV to capture the small-cap value breakout. Small caps are generally more sensitive to sustained high oil prices and inflation shocks.

r/stocks community Reddit community discussion

MSFT is trading near "Liberation Day max fear levels" while maintaining strong real-world utility. The stock offers a safer, cheaper alternative to other mega-caps facing regulatory scrutiny, presenting a strong risk/reward profile. Accumulate MSFT shares as a safe-haven tech play with strong staying power. Broader market volatility from geopolitical events or unexpected earnings misses.

r/stocks community Reddit community discussion

NBIS is experiencing a massive upward trend, described as a "generational run" and a "monster." Strong price action and community FOMO (regret for selling at 135) indicate continued momentum and high retail interest. Long NBIS to capture ongoing momentum in a highly favored momentum stock. The stock has already run up significantly, posing a risk of a sudden pullback or valuation concerns.

r/stocks community Reddit community discussion

Tech sector profit estimates are up 7.9% since Dec 31, hitting 45% YoY growth according to FactSet. Tangible upward earnings revisions provide a strong fundamental floor for tech stocks, driving the broader S&P 500. Long the tech sector (or software specifically) ahead of Q1 earnings reports. High expectations mean any slight earnings miss could trigger a harsh sell-off.

r/stocks community Reddit community discussion

The S&P 500 is ignoring an 8% spike in oil from a new blockade, with the index officially turning green and approaching 7000. The market's ability to shrug off major geopolitical and commodity shocks shows extreme underlying strength and buyer conviction. Long the broader market as it pushes toward the 7000 psychological level and recovers February highs. Sustained oil shocks could eventually bleed into consumer spending and inflation data.

r/stocks community Reddit community discussion

META is facing a social media addiction lawsuit and is trading well above max fear valuation levels. The ethical and legal risks associated with the addiction lawsuit make the stock vulnerable to a pullback compared to utility-based tech. Trim or sell META positions to reallocate capital into safer tech plays like MSFT. META's core ad-revenue engine continues to print money, potentially driving the stock higher despite lawsuits.

r/stocks community Reddit community discussion

BofA Securities raised TSMC's price target to $500 based on massive AI demand. Once the short-term volatility from the Iran blockade stabilizes, TSM's underlying AI fundamentals will drive the stock toward the new price targets. Buy TSM to capitalize on strong AI demand and the eventual stabilization of geopolitical tensions. Escalation in the Middle East or Taiwan could disrupt supply chains and broader market stability.

More from Reddit — r/stocks

Where are we in the market cycle ?

Are you buying software stocks now that they've fallen so much?

S&P, Nasdaq, and Russell futures all down... is this broad de-risking or just another dip?

CENTCOM update: US will not 'impede freedom of navigation for vessels transiting the Hormuz to & from non Iranian ports'

Analyzing Senator McCormick's Perfect Goldman Sachs Trade

This Reddit post, published April 13, 2026, features r/stocks community discussing AVUV, MSFT, NBIS, XLK, SPY, META, TSM. 7 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: r/stocks community · Tickers: AVUV, MSFT, NBIS, XLK, SPY, META, TSM