Disney is down 20% over the past year and has beaten earnings four straight quarters.something doesnt add up

u/CuteSuspectt · Reddit — r/stocks · August 02, 2026 at 21:34 · ⬆ 61 pts · 💬 53 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
AI Summary

Summary

  • Disney has beaten earnings four straight quarters while the stock is down ~20% over the past year; the author sees a disconnect between fundamentals and market sentiment.
  • Author thesis: if new CEO Josh D’Amaro delivers a confident vision on parks and ESPN streaming subscriber growth on the upcoming earnings call, the valuation discount should close quickly.
  • Quality assessment: This is a speculative, event-driven thesis mixing recent fundamentals with CEO-transition narratives; it is not deep quantitative DD but is reasonably informed.
Score 61
Comments 53
Upvote % 81%
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u/CuteSuspectt Reddit r/stocks
Disney beat earnings four straight quarters; Q2 streaming entertainment revenue grew 13%, parks rose 7% to ~$9.5B, and management guided 12% adjusted EPS growth for FY2026 plus $8B in buybacks. The stock is down despite these results, so the market is focused on bear cases like park attendance and new-CEO uncertainty; Wednesday’s call is the catalyst to change that narrative. This is an asymmetric event-driven long into earnings — if D’Amaro addresses parks pressure and ESPN DTC traction clearly, the discount could close fast. Domestic park weakness may worsen, macro uncertainty could overshadow results, high debt remains a concern, and a weak CEO debut could keep the stock rangebound.
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This Reddit post, published August 02, 2026, features u/CuteSuspectt discussing DIS. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/CuteSuspectt  · Tickers: DIS