Down $143K from the peak on NBIS. Adding on the way down. Regarded or early?

u/dylanavocado · Reddit — r/wallstreetbets · July 08, 2026 at 00:41 · ⬆ 53 pts · 💬 53 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
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Summary

  • Author u/dylanavocado details a $143K drawdown on NBIS (1,370 shares) but remains highly bullish, arguing that a Bloomberg report about Meta selling excess compute is overblown and that the company’s fundamentals (contracted power, Nvidia backing, short interest at ~24%, Nasdaq-100 inclusion) remain intact.
  • Thesis: NBIS is oversold on a misinterpreted headline; a Q2 earnings beat could trigger a short squeeze, pushing the stock back from ~$195 to above $300 by end of August.
  • Quality assessment: Moderately researched DD combining catalysts (earnings, short interest, index flows) with personal position, but reliant on narrative rather than rigorous valuation. Some community comments suggest AI-generated text, reducing credibility.
Score 53
Comments 53
Upvote % 72%
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Ideas
u/dylanavocado Reddit r/wallstreetbets
Meta signed a $27B partnership with Nebius in March, and the recent "Meta Compute" sell-off ignores that Meta is a customer, not a competitor. Contracted power surged from ~1GW to 3.5GW+. Nvidia committed $2B. 24% short interest on a 35% drawdown + Nasdaq-100 forced buying + Q2 earnings in weeks creates a classic squeeze setup. The stock previously rallied $200→$300 in five weeks without a catalyst. The sell-off is an overreaction to headline risk; fundamentals unchanged. A beat on earnings could trigger a sharp re-rating and squeeze. Meta actually pivoting to compete in cloud compute; broader AI capex slowdown; earnings miss; continued dilution or management missteps.
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This Reddit post, published July 08, 2026, features u/dylanavocado discussing NBIS. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/dylanavocado  · Tickers: NBIS