Genuinely what on earth is going on with software right now? This is completely unhinged.

u/-----Marcel----- · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · June 17, 2026 at 20:39 · ⬆ 30 pts · 💬 96 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
AI Summary

Summary

  • Author is panicked about a massive, unexplained selloff in enterprise software stocks (NOW, CRM, ADBE, MSFT) over ~2.5 weeks, with declines of 30–40% despite no negative news and solid earnings.
  • Thesis: The market has become irrational and momentum-driven, ignoring strong fundamentals (high FCF, zero debt, growing net income), resembling dot-com or COVID-era panic isolated to software.
  • Quality assessment: Emotional speculation with some factual price data, but lacks rigorous DD (no valuation multiples, no catalyst analysis). More of a sentiment post than actionable research.
Score 30
Comments 96
Upvote % 81%
Full Post Text
Ideas
u/-----Marcel----- Reddit r/ValueInvesting
Software index (IGV) and major holdings like NOW, CRM, ADBE have dropped 30–40% in <3 weeks with zero fundamental deterioration – companies are profitable, debt-free, and beating earnings. This price action appears detached from reality, creating a potential mean-reversion opportunity if fundamentals reassert themselves. The market may be oversold on a sector-wide basis. A contrarian long on IGV betting that the selloff is irrational and that software stocks will recover once momentum shifts or macro fears prove overblown. Continued liquidity crunch (top comment mentions semis need to crash first), further rotation out of software, or a genuine macro shock (recession, AI disruption). Author has no dry powder left, suggesting his own conviction is tested.
More from Reddit — r/ValueInvesting

This Reddit post, published June 17, 2026, features u/-----Marcel----- discussing IGV. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/-----Marcel-----  · Tickers: IGV