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I screened for stocks with 10%+ True FCF yield across their entire history. Here's what survived and what the data actually says.

u/JoeInOR · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · May 27, 2026 at 12:44 · ⬆ 18 pts · 💬 7 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
AI Summary

Summary

  • The post screens for stocks with >10% True FCF yield over at least 10 years, highlighting Comcast (CMCSA), Harley-Davidson (HOG), and Molson Coors (TAP) as the most interesting survivors.
  • The author argues CMCSA offers a 20%+ FCF yield with strong GDP correlation, HOG has exceptional capital allocation and low tangible book, and TAP trades below book with never‑negative FCF.
  • Quality assessment: Well‑researched DD using 15 years of SEC XBRL data, with clear methodology and specific data points.
Score 18
Comments 7
Upvote % 95%
Full Post Text
Ideas
u/JoeInOR Reddit r/ValueInvesting
20%+ True FCF yield; 96% revenue correlation to US nominal GDP over the last 5 years. High, stable FCF yield tied to nominal GDP growth suggests the market is mispricing a defensive cash machine. Comcast is a deep‑value play with a wide moat from its NGDP‑integrated revenue base. Fiber competition, Peacock losses, rising debt costs, regulatory changes.
u/JoeInOR Reddit r/ValueInvesting
Trading below book value; FCF never negative in 17 years; 10.2% total shareholder yield. A steady, never‑negative cash generator available below liquidation value offers a margin of safety. Molson Coors is a boring, resilient value stock with a strong yield. Changing consumer tastes (craft/import share), high leverage, commodity cost inflation.
u/JoeInOR Reddit r/ValueInvesting
9.7% float retired in a single year; 13.4% total shareholder yield; 0.79x tangible book with negligible goodwill. Aggressive buybacks at a discount to tangible book signal management believes the stock is deeply undervalued. Harley‑Davidson offers a rare combination of cheap assets and shareholder‑friendly capital allocation. Aging core demographic, declining motorcycle demand, brand erosion.
More from Reddit — r/ValueInvesting

This Reddit post, published May 27, 2026, features u/JoeInOR discussing CMCSA, TAP, HOG. 3 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/JoeInOR  · Tickers: CMCSA, TAP, HOG