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If space X is overvalued then RKLB is 5x worst.

u/Extension_Emu5973 · Reddit — r/wallstreetbets · May 26, 2026 at 09:25 · ⬆ 69 pts · 💬 71 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
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Summary

  • The author argues that RKLB is massively overvalued at an $81B market cap, citing negative net income, only $680M TTM revenue (over 100x price/sales), and a payload capacity 600x less than SpaceX.
  • He believes the company is riding a “buy the rumor, sell the news” wave ahead of the SpaceX IPO, and that RKLB will crash regardless of SpaceX’s IPO outcome.
  • Despite holding shares since $4 and selling some at $80, he now holds RKLB puts and plans to add more late-2026 puts if the stock opens above $140.
Score 69
Comments 71
Upvote % 71%
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Ideas
u/Extension_Emu5973 Reddit r/wallstreetbets
RKLB has $680M TTM revenue, negative net income, no operational Neutron rocket yet, and no Starlink-like recurring revenue. Its market cap is 13x LUNR with lower forward revenue, and it trades above 100x price/sales. The extreme valuation multiple (81B market cap vs. $680M revenue) creates a mean-reversion opportunity, especially if the SpaceX IPO acts as a catalyst for sector-wide repricing. Shorting RKLB via puts targets a correction as fundamentals fail to justify the current price, particularly after the SpaceX IPO euphoria fades. RKLB could continue rallying on momentum and retail hype; community comments note that “overvalued” does not mean “soon to fall,” and the company’s end-to-end space capabilities may command a premium.
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This Reddit post, published May 26, 2026, features u/Extension_Emu5973 discussing RKLB. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/Extension_Emu5973  · Tickers: RKLB