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Hi everyone,
Nasdaq gained 3,6% in one day. Today, the futurs are gaining 1%. Apparently, if I read the news, investors have got optimistic about the end of war, because Trump said the war is ended in two or three weeks (or more if you listen to Hegseth). Moreover, Iran said they are ready to end the war ...
But I've some doubt:
\- Since the begining of the war in Iran, Trump's said the war is ended in 2 or 3 weeks. The war began one month ago...
\- Iran said they are ready to end the war, but they have always said that. They made a list of 5 fundamental points, and when I read that, i'm not sure Trump will accept it.
\- A new US big ship has just come to middle east, ready to attack ...
\- 5000 US soldiers are waiting for the invasion
\- Hegseth is still claiming he wants to invade Iran and "his" soldiers want that ...
\- the strait of Hormuz is still closed and Iran claims again it's still close for US/Israel and their allies
\- The strait of Bab el Mandeb is under the threat of Houstis, allies of Iran. So even if you want to change the way of ship, you're f:cked
\- A big part of capacity of oil and gas production are still destroyed and need some months or year to be available.
\- Some countries will suffer of a shortage of oil and maybe gas at the end of April, if the strait is still close.
\- European countries got a double inflation in Marsh (France past from 0,9 to 1,7%) and this is just the begining, because the oil and gas price doesn't affect the final product.
\- In US, like tariff, there is no inflation rise, the magic of USA I guess ...
Seriously, why people are buying massively ? they got their salary of marsh and want to buy the dip ? because all the week end, I read lot of influencer and some analyst saying this is the dip and you have to buy..