MSFT's EV-based FCF yield is currently around 3.2% based on $75B normalized FCF. A true margin of safety for a software business requires at least a 4.0% yield, which translates to a target price of ~$260. Avoid buying MSFT at $370 as you are paying a massive premium for growth without a margin of safety. MSFT's growth rate could accelerate, justifying the lower FCF yield and premium valuation.
This Reddit post, published March 24, 2026,
features u/BarracudaVivid8015
discussing MSFT.
1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.