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u/BarracudaVivid8015

Reddit r/ValueInvesting
· tracked since Mar 2026
Calls
1
Win Rate
100.0%
return
+3.0%
Calls 1 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Best Calls
MSFT long +3.0%
Worst Calls
No live losers yet
Most Mentioned
MSFT ×1
Recent Calls
MSFT long 3 months ago
Win Rate 100% Long 1 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 0%
30d 100%
90d 0%
Average Return +3.0% Long Return +3.0% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -0.7%
30d +11.5%
90d -1.5%
Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Mar 24
$372.79
+3.0%
MSFT's EV-based FCF yield is currently around 3.2% based on $75B normalized FCF. A true margin of safety for a software business requires at least a 4.0% yield, which translates to a target price of ~$260. Avoid buying MSFT at $370 as you are paying a massive premium for growth without a margin of safety. MSFT's growth rate could accelerate, justifying the lower FCF yield and premium valuation.
MSFT's EV-based FCF yield is currently around 3.2% based on $75B normalized FCF. A true margin of safety for a software business requires at least a 4.0% yield, which translates to a target price of ~$260. Avoid buying MSFT at $370 as you are paying a massive premium for growth without a margin of safety. MSFT's growth rate could accelerate, justifying the lower FCF yield and premium valuation.
AI/Semi
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u/BarracudaVivid8015 has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since March 2026. Most covered: MSFT.