Why value and blue chip stocks had fallen more than the whole market in the last weeks?
u/shaggy98 ·
Reddit — r/ValueInvesting
· March 18, 2026 at 19:10
· ⬆ 19 pts
· 💬 60 comments
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AI Summary
Summary
The author is questioning the defensive nature of their "value" and "blue-chip" stock portfolio (BRK, MSFT, ADBE, V, ADS, SNY), as it has underperformed the broader market (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100) during a recent minor downturn.
The author's thesis is that high-quality, reasonably priced stocks should offer better downside protection than the overall market, an expectation that has not been met in the short term, leading them to question their stock-picking ability.
Quality assessment: This is noise. The post is based on short-term price movements (30 days) and emotional reaction rather than fundamental analysis. The author's definition of "value" is loose and seems more aligned with "blue-chip" or "quality at a reasonable price" rather than deep value.
Score19
Comments60
Upvote %83%
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I bought last months cheaper stocks because the whole market was already very expensive, and I expected that in case of a drop, my stocks would hold better.
So I have BRK, from last year, -3% in the last 30 days. Last month I bought Microsoft, Adobe and Visa. Microsoft is -5%, and is doing much worse than Google or Nvidia. Adobe and Visa are all -10%. Visa was not that cheap compared to the rest of the market, but was the cheapest compared to its history for last years. Also I bought Adidas 2 weeks ago, and here I'm also 10% down. I have Sanofi from december, also 10% down. S&p 500 is less than 3% down for last month, while Nasdaq 100 is at 0%.
So I didn't expected these stocks to beat the market in a bull run, maybe Microsoft or Adobe, but I also didn't expected them to be so weak at the slightest headwinds.
Or I'm very bad at picking stocks, and I better go with ETFs?
The stock is down 3% in the last 30 days, underperforming the Nasdaq 100 which is flat. The author expected this blue-chip holding to be more resilient in a market downturn, but it has shown weakness. The author is questioning the stock's defensive qualities and is implicitly considering selling or avoiding adding more due to its recent underperformance. The short-term underperformance could be noise. The company's long-term fundamentals may remain intact, making this a poor time to sell.
MSFT is down 5% in the last month, significantly underperforming peers like Google and Nvidia, as well as the broader indices. The author bought it as a "cheaper" stock, expecting it to hold up well, but it has proven weak during minor headwinds. The author's confidence in the stock is shaken due to its relative weakness compared to other large-cap tech names, suggesting a potential re-evaluation of the position. A one-month period is not indicative of long-term performance. The underperformance could be a sector rotation or a temporary dip, offering a buying opportunity.
The stock has dropped 10% since the author purchased it last month. This significant drop contradicts the author's expectation that it would be a relatively stable holding during market weakness. The author is expressing regret and concern over the stock's sharp decline, implying they would not be a buyer and may consider selling if the weakness persists. The drop could be an overreaction to market news or a specific company event, creating a better entry point if the long-term thesis is unchanged.
Visa is down 10% in the last month, a significant drop for a blue-chip company. The author bought it because it was cheap relative to its own history, but this has not protected it from a sharp, market-underperforming decline. The author is concerned by the stock's poor performance, which goes against the rationale for buying it, suggesting a loss of conviction. The stock being cheap relative to its history could still be a valid long-term thesis; the recent drop might be an even better entry point.
This Reddit post, published March 18, 2026,
features u/shaggy98
discussing BRK.B, MSFT, ADBE, V.
4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.