#902 Alpha Score 50.7

u/shaggy98

Reddit r/ValueInvesting
· tracked since Feb 2026
902
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Alpha Score 50.7
Calls
6
Win Rate
50.0%
return
+5.1%
Calls 6 4 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Win Rate 50% Long 2 Short 4
Win Rate
7d 33%
30d 50%
90d 33%
Average Return +5.1% Long Return +6.7% Short Return +4.4%
Average Return
7d -2.3%
30d +1.4%
90d -0.9%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Short
May 12
$80.02
-10.1%
KO’s P/E 25 and forward P/E 23 are above its 10-year average of ~22. A mature beverage company with no growth catalyst at 23x forward earnings leaves little upside; inflation and commodity costs (aluminum, sugar) could hurt. Short KO on valuation and cost headwinds. Currency tailwinds and brand moat could sustain premium.
KO’s P/E 25 and forward P/E 23 are above its 10-year average of ~22. A mature beverage company with no growth catalyst at 23x forward earnings leaves little upside; inflation and commodity costs (aluminum, sugar) could hurt. Short KO on valuation and cost headwinds. Currency tailwinds and brand moat could sustain premium.
Packaged Foods
Short
May 12
$143.78
-2.6%
PG trades at P/E 21 and forward P/E 20, less extreme than WMT/COST but still above its historical average of ~18. A 20x P/E on a low-growth defensives offers limited upside, and high oil/input costs could erode margins. Mildly short PG as a relatively less overvalued but still unattractive staple. Brand pricing power and dividend safety may support valuation.
PG trades at P/E 21 and forward P/E 20, less extreme than WMT/COST but still above its historical average of ~18. A 20x P/E on a low-growth defensives offers limited upside, and high oil/input costs could erode margins. Mildly short PG as a relatively less overvalued but still unattractive staple. Brand pricing power and dividend safety may support valuation.
Personal Care
Short
May 12
$1019.63
+12.4%
COST has P/E 53 and forward P/E 45, making it one of the most expensive staples. High valuation implies extreme growth expectations that COST’s mature membership model may not deliver, especially with cost inflation. Short COST on valuation reversion risk. Strong same-store sales and member loyalty could sustain premium.
COST has P/E 53 and forward P/E 45, making it one of the most expensive staples. High valuation implies extreme growth expectations that COST’s mature membership model may not deliver, especially with cost inflation. Short COST on valuation reversion risk. Strong same-store sales and member loyalty could sustain premium.
Staples Retail
Showing 3 of 6 calls · sorted by mentions

u/shaggy98 has 6 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 6 tickers since February 2026. Ranked #902 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: MSFT, ADBE, WMT.

Historical call returns are modeled from recorded ideas and stored prices, not actual brokerage portfolio returns. Check the evaluated call set and horizon; past results do not establish future prediction accuracy. Explore our data and methodology