ASML EARNINGS

u/OilAny787 · Reddit — r/stocks · January 25, 2026 at 11:08 · ⬆ 47 pts · 💬 78 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
AI Summary

Original Reddit post

Author argues ASML is overvalued at $1,384 and expects weak Q4 guidance to drive a sharp drop, proposing a short or put.

ASML — SHORT Author values ASML at $743 per share via DCF, about 45% below the current $1,384 price, and sees valuation multiples as elevated. He expects weak Q4 guidance and a declining China segment to act as a catalyst, with any miss or in-line print potentially sending the stock down 5-10%. The proposed expression is a long put with Feb 6 expiry and 1320 strike.

ASML seems like an easy short/put.

Score 47
Comments 78
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Ideas
u/OilAny787 Reddit r/stocks
ASML overvalued; weak Q4 guidance could drop shares.
Author values ASML at $743 per share via DCF, about 45% below the current $1,384 price, and sees valuation multiples as elevated. He expects weak Q4 guidance and a declining China segment to act as a catalyst, with any miss or in-line print potentially sending the stock down 5-10%. The proposed expression is a long put with Feb 6 expiry and 1320 strike.
ASML HIGH
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This Reddit post, published January 25, 2026, features u/OilAny787 discussing ASML. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/OilAny787  · Tickers: ASML