Wall Street is Wrong: I Believe Autonomous Driving is UBER's $180 Catalyst

u/OnTheStreetwithLou · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · January 19, 2026 at 17:19 · 💬 73 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
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Author argues Uber is a beneficiary rather than victim of autonomous driving, supporting a long thesis with a $180 DCF target.

UBER — LONG The author argues Uber will be a primary beneficiary of autonomous vehicles because manufacturers and fleet operators will likely partner with Uber rather than replicate its ride-hailing network, leaving Uber capital-light while partners bear hardware costs. He cites Waymo and Nvidia partnerships as evidence of this demand-aggregator role and points to expected $9 billion 2025 FCF, 243% five-year revenue growth, and diversified Mobility/Delivery/Freight segments. Based on a conservative base-case DCF, he sees a $180 per share target and views the stock as fairly priced.

I believe the "Autonomous Vehicles (AV) will destroy Uber" narrative is overdone and that Uber will actually be one of the greatest beneficiaries of the AV era.

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u/OnTheStreetwithLou Reddit r/ValueInvesting
Uber long: AV partnerships support $180 DCF target
The author argues Uber will be a primary beneficiary of autonomous vehicles because manufacturers and fleet operators will likely partner with Uber rather than replicate its ride-hailing network, leaving Uber capital-light while partners bear hardware costs. He cites Waymo and Nvidia partnerships as evidence of this demand-aggregator role and points to expected $9 billion 2025 FCF, 243% five-year revenue growth, and diversified Mobility/Delivery/Freight segments. Based on a conservative base-case DCF, he sees a $180 per share target and views the stock as fairly priced.
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This Reddit post, published January 19, 2026, features u/OnTheStreetwithLou discussing UBER. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/OnTheStreetwithLou  · Tickers: UBER