Is the Entire Tech Sector Massively Overvalued Right Now?!

u/StrongandFree2018 · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · January 13, 2026 at 01:29 · ⬆ 53 pts · 💬 145 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
AI Summary

Original Reddit post

Author argues tech stocks like Amphenol and NVDA are massively overvalued at current multiples and is sitting in cash waiting for lower prices.

APH — AVOID The author argues Amphenol (APH) is overvalued, stating it only makes sense to buy below $80/share based on their review of the numbers. They believe tech stocks broadly trade at multiples that don't make logical sense and are choosing to sit on the sidelines in cash. The stated risk is being wrong if the market keeps rising on AI bets into 2026.

I went through the numbers on Amphenol (NYSE: APH) and I swear, it only makes sense to buy at less than $80/share.

NVDA — AVOID The author argues NVDA is overvalued, stating it only makes sense to buy below $100/share. They question why people buy tech stocks at such high multiples and suggest CEOs would sell rather than buy at current prices. They are staying in cash until prices become reasonable, acknowledging they could be wrong if AI bets pay off by 2026.

NVDA - similar, like less than $100/share.

Score 53
Comments 145
Full Post Text
Ideas
u/StrongandFree2018 Reddit r/ValueInvesting
APH overvalued; only buy below $80
The author argues Amphenol (APH) is overvalued, stating it only makes sense to buy below $80/share based on their review of the numbers. They believe tech stocks broadly trade at multiples that don't make logical sense and are choosing to sit on the sidelines in cash. The stated risk is being wrong if the market keeps rising on AI bets into 2026.
u/StrongandFree2018 Reddit r/ValueInvesting
NVDA overvalued; only buy below $100
The author argues NVDA is overvalued, stating it only makes sense to buy below $100/share. They question why people buy tech stocks at such high multiples and suggest CEOs would sell rather than buy at current prices. They are staying in cash until prices become reasonable, acknowledging they could be wrong if AI bets pay off by 2026.
More from Reddit — r/ValueInvesting

This Reddit post, published January 13, 2026, features u/StrongandFree2018 discussing APH, NVDA. 2 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/StrongandFree2018  · Tickers: APH, NVDA