January 26 Pre-Market: New York Stocks End Mixed on Intel's 17% Earnings Shock / Will KOSPI Hold 5000 and KOSDAQ Strength Continue?

[1월26일 #장시작전] 혼조세로 끝난 뉴욕증시 '인텔 -17% 실적 쇼크' / 코스피 5000 안착, 코스닥 강세는 이어질까?
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 26, 2026 at 00:21  |  2:44:46  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Choi Chang-gyu — Director, NH Investment & Securities
Hwang Yoo-hyun — Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities
Lee Ju-hyeon — Director, Xangle
Kim Hyeong-cheol — CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute
Min Jae-gi — Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club

Summary

The January 26 pre-market show reviewed a mixed US close where Intel dropped 17% on an earnings shock, while KOSPI reached 5000 and KOSDAQ strength was the key debate. Guests discussed AI semiconductor supply chains, Samsung HBM4 and China H200 approvals, power infrastructure, rare earths, metals, and fast sector rotation into stablecoin, solid-state battery, bio, robot, and holding-company themes.

  • US markets closed mixed as Intel plunged 17% after weak guidance and valuation concerns.
  • Korean equities remained strong, with KOSPI above 5000 and KOSDAQ drawing policy-driven attention.
  • Samsung HBM4 qualification and China H200 approval were framed as positives for Samsung, Nvidia, and AMD.
  • Power infrastructure, defense, shipbuilding, and rare earths were highlighted as long-cycle themes.
  • Gold, silver, and copper strength continued, while natural gas was seen as a weather-driven spike not to chase.
  • KOSDAQ leadership was linked to bio, secondary battery, robot, and stablecoin/STO themes.
  • Speakers favored selective stock picking as robot and AI-linked volatility increased.
Ideas
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 6:02
Alphabet is top AI platform pick
Alphabet was the top weekly net buy among Korean investors; it is the best-positioned AI platform in advertising and cloud and is the most attractive large-cap Google exposure.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 6:22
Tesla gains from robot autonomy catalysts
Tesla was second-most bought; Musk's comments on robots, autonomous driving, and humanoid Optimus reinforce positive robot and self-driving catalysts.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 6:45
Nvidia AI leadership and shortage demand
Nvidia was being bought again as investors revisit AI leadership and shortage narratives.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 7:00
AI power demand boosts NuScale
NuScale was bought on nuclear SMR theme and AI power demand expectations.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 8:45
Gold and silver uptrend continues
Silver saw historic monthly buying strength and follows gold; gold is supported by rates, geopolitics, central-bank purchases, and ETF demand, with Goldman targeting $5,400.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 9:29
Avoid leveraged semis and long bonds
Korean investors sold leveraged semiconductor and long-duration bond ETFs, treating semiconductors as short-term trading and reducing rate-sensitive leverage.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 10:49
Korea equities lead on AI memory
Korea was the top MSCI market, helped by emerging-market, commodity, and cyclical exposure, semiconductor and AI memory earnings, and foreign inflows.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 12:21
Peru benefits from AI copper demand
Peru is a copper and gold mining market sensitive to China and commodities; if AI drives power demand, copper scarcity should support Peru equities.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 13:43
RIA tax break favors Hyundai Motor
The RIA tax account lets overseas stock sale proceeds be reinvested in Korean equities with capital-gains deduction; Tesla sellers are likely to buy Hyundai Motor.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 13:50
RIA flows favor Korean memory makers
If investors sell Micron and reinvest through the RIA account, Samsung Electronics and SK hynix are the likely Korean semiconductor beneficiaries.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 17:21
Policy shift supports KOSDAQ rebound
President Lee's growth-policy shift toward stocks, venture, startups, and local growth can extend the KOSDAQ rebound.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 19:49
Copper shortage supports uptrend
Copper is needed for AI power infrastructure and is in shortage, supporting a broad commodity uptrend.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 27:49
NAVER AI and stablecoin optionality
NAVER is Korea's leading AI and internet company, with commerce and Naver Financial-Dunamu merger and stablecoin optionality; after an 8% rebound it is worth watching.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 34:36
Intel overvalued with weak foundry execution
Intel fell 17% on weak guidance, a roughly 100x P/E, foundry 18A and 14A uncertainty, lack of disclosed external customers, and yield and supply problems; broker targets imply downside.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 37:44
Foreign inflows favor Korean equities
Global fund flows are moving from US ETFs into Asia, especially Korea; a weaker dollar and stronger won could pull foreign inflows into Korean equities.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 39:19
Broadcom and Oracle remain weak
Broadcom and Oracle have not recovered after their declines and remain weak.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 43:56
Applied Digital sets up breakout
Applied Digital rose 8% while peers were weak and appears to be setting up for a breakout or earnings catalyst.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 52:45
Copper has highest survey win rate
Goldman's global strategy survey showed copper as the asset with the highest expected win rate, supported by semiconductor, substrate, and industrial demand.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 58:25
China H200 approval lifts Nvidia
China approved H200 purchases by Alibaba, Tencent, and ByteDance with domestic-chip conditions; this revives Nvidia China revenue, supports production increases, and likely lifts guidance.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 62:28
Samsung supplies H200 HBM memory
H200 uses HBM3E; SK hynix is sold out and Micron capacity is tight, so Samsung is likely to supply incremental HBM and could gain over 1 trillion won of extra revenue this year.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 64:22
AMD China approval offers upside
AMD may receive China export approval after Nvidia; its AI chips use Samsung HBM, and prior guidance excluded China revenue, leaving upside.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 70:44
HBM4 suppliers gain visibility
As HBM4 supply becomes more visible, Korean semiconductor equipment and materials suppliers tied to HBM4 should see trading momentum.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 76:54
Power grid investment cycle remains long
The US winter storm exposed aging power-grid vulnerabilities; big tech cites power as a top risk, implying a long cycle of grid reinforcement and replacement.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 78:55
Self-defense shift favors Korean defense
The new US National Defense Strategy shifts North Korea deterrence to Korea and pushes allies toward self-defense, increasing Korean defense and shipbuilding opportunities, including Canada's submarine order.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 82:44
Rare earth demand boosts Korean refiners
The Trump administration is investing in rare earths because strategic minerals are critical for robots and semiconductors; Korean refiners and supply-chain names should benefit.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 85:36
KOSDAQ policy narrative attracts liquidity
KOSDAQ 3,000 is becoming a policy narrative; lifting the index requires large-cap bio, robot, and battery names, and retail liquidity is returning.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 90:27
Oral obesity theme gains momentum
Novo Nordisk's oral obesity sales are strong, and Korean oral-obesity names such as Sam Chun Dang Pharm, D&D Pharmatech, and Ildong Pharmaceutical are gaining momentum.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 99:03
Korea Circuit leads substrate strength
Within Korean semiconductor materials and equipment, substrates remain the most resilient area and Korea Circuit is the leader.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 100:00
Solid-state battery ETF offers exposure
Robots need lighter, less fire-prone batteries, and the SOL solid-state battery and silicon anode ETF gives diversified exposure to the solid-state battery theme.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 101:22
Aerospace defense ETF offers exposure
The domestic PLUS Aerospace Defense ETF has already doubled from the 20,000-won area and offers diversified exposure to the aerospace and defense theme.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 101:39
Power equipment trades in box range
Top-three power equipment names show the strongest earnings in the sector; trade them from the lower to upper end of their box range.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 101:53
Buy ship-defense leverage on dips
Because shipbuilding and defense have real earnings, use leveraged ETFs when the sector pulls to the lower end of its range rather than chasing new highs.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 103:30
APR leads cosmetics on strong numbers
APR is the only strong cosmetics stock, with good numbers and a new-high breakout despite sector weakness.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 112:08
LG Innotek benefits from robot sensors
LG can play a meaningful role in robots, especially camera sensors, making LG Innotek attractive despite recent volatility.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 112:41
HL Mando supplies robotaxi components
HL Mando is an essential component supplier for robotaxis and robotics, giving it upside as auto and robot themes strengthen.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 113:17
Samsung E&A awaits order momentum
Reports turned positive on Samsung E&A's order momentum, but supply is not strong yet, so wait for a clearer catalyst.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 116:51
Game publishers face difficult competition
Game publishers face intensifying competition for time from YouTube and Shorts, making it hard to add new users; platforms may be better than publishers.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 121:42
Optical communications demand expands
Robots and aerospace need high-speed connections; after Ciena and Corning, he expects the optical communications supply chain to expand this year.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 128:40
Rare earth investment lifts related names
US strategic investment in rare earths should spur mining development, benefiting construction equipment like Caterpillar and Korean rare-earth and refining names.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 131:07
ITCEN Global breaks to new high
ITCEN Global printed a strong new-high candle; hold while it stays above the candle's open and manage risk if it breaks.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 131:27
Avoid chasing natural gas spike
US natural gas spiked on cold weather, but winter is ending in February; do not chase the move and instead look for the next commodity rotation.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 138:13
LS gains from reform and copper
LS withdrew the LS6 Solutions IPO, announced buyback and higher dividends, and benefits from holding-company reform and copper price strength.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 139:47
Solid-state names rally before InterBattery
Solid-state battery names Isu Specialty Chemical, Lake Materials, and Hanong Hwasung historically rally in February before InterBattery, supported by robot battery demand.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 146:50
Doosan benefits from AI and reform
Doosan should benefit from AI demand and revised commercial law, with strong subsidiaries including Doosan Robotics, Doosan Enerbility, and Doosan Tesna.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 147:22
Hyundai Motor valuation looks stretched
Hyundai Motor already trades near Toyota valuation, the 600,000-won target is hard to exceed near term, and it needs proof in autonomous driving or robotaxi technology.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 148:47
Samsung Electro-Mechanics leads IT parts
Samsung Electro-Mechanics has been the strongest IT parts stock and received multiple target-price upgrades.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 149:06
Samsung Heavy gains on FLNG
Samsung Heavy Industries received target upgrades on fourth-quarter results and FLNG momentum.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 149:20
Auto parts preferred over automakers
He prefers auto component makers such as Hyundai Mobis and HL Mando over finished automakers for better risk-reward.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 149:57
TCK and materials gain upgrades
TCK has target upgrades tied to utilization and silicon-carbide and related materials demand, with Hana Materials and S&CNS also in the beneficiary group.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 150:23
Daewoo E&C gains new pipeline
Daewoo E&C is viewed as the second Hyundai E&C, with a 12 trillion-won new pipeline and target upgrades.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 150:59
HYBE gains on World Tour
HYBE is the top entertainment pick, with target price raised to 440,000 won on World Tour 2 and earnings upgrades.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 153:13
Liquidity rotates into non-ferrous metals
After copper, liquidity should rotate into non-ferrous metals, so watch the sector closely.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 155:49
Stablecoin policy drives STO stocks
Policy support for stablecoin and STO is driving strong short-term liquidity into related names such as KakaoPay, NHN KCP, Hecto Financial, and Danal.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 157:17
Robot sector needs quality differentiation
Robot stocks are now differentiated: speculative names without content are vulnerable, while those with large-corporate links and actuator or sensor technology can be watched.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 160:31
Livsmed lockup expiry unlocks upside
Livsmed's one-month lockup expiry removes supply pressure, and it is a domestic surgical robot company comparable to Intuitive Surgical.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 161:52
Holding-company reform re-rates Korea
Ending double listings and governance reform can re-rate Korean holding companies and become a new KOSPI upside driver.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published January 26, 2026, features Choi Chang-gyu, Hwang Yoo-hyun, Lee Ju-hyeon, Kim Hyeong-cheol, Min Jae-gi discussing GOOGL, TSLA, NVDA, SMR, GLD, SILVER, SOXL, TMF, TLT, TQQQ, USD, EWY, EPU, 005380.KS, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, KOSDAQ, COPPER, 035420.KS, INTC, AVGO, ORCL, APLD, AMD, Korean HBM4 semiconductor equipment/materials sector, 267260.KS, 298040.KS, 010120.KS, 062040.KS, 103590.KS, 001440.KS, Korean defense sector, Korean shipbuilding sector, 010130.KS, 127120.KQ, 047050.KS, 229640.KS, NovaTech, 047400.KQ, 000250.KQ, 347850.KQ, 249420.KS, 007810.KS, SOL Solid-State Battery N Silicon Anode ETF, PLUS Aerospace Defense ETF, 278470.KS, 011070.KS, 204320.KS, 028260.KS, Korean game publishers, Optical communications sector, CAT, Cenotech, 124500.KQ, UNG, 006260.KS, 457190.KS, 281740.KQ, 019360.KQ, 000150.KS, 009150.KS, 010140.KS, 012330.KS, 064760.KQ, 166090.KQ, 252990.KQ, 047040.KS, 352820.KS, Non-ferrous metals, 377300.KS, 060250.KQ, 234340.KQ, 064260.KQ, BOTZ, LivsMed, Korean holding companies. 56 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Choi Chang-gyu, Hwang Yoo-hyun, Lee Ju-hyeon, Kim Hyeong-cheol, Min Jae-gi  · Tickers: GOOGL, TSLA, NVDA, SMR, GLD, SILVER, SOXL, TMF, TLT, TQQQ, USD, EWY, EPU, 005380.KS, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, KOSDAQ, COPPER, 035420.KS, INTC, AVGO, ORCL, APLD, AMD, Korean HBM4 semiconductor equipment/materials sector, 267260.KS, 298040.KS, 010120.KS, 062040.KS, 103590.KS, 001440.KS, Korean defense sector, Korean shipbuilding sector, 010130.KS, 127120.KQ, 047050.KS, 229640.KS, NovaTech, 047400.KQ, 000250.KQ, 347850.KQ, 249420.KS, 007810.KS, SOL Solid-State Battery N Silicon Anode ETF, PLUS Aerospace Defense ETF, 278470.KS, 011070.KS, 204320.KS, 028260.KS, Korean game publishers, Optical communications sector, CAT, Cenotech, 124500.KQ, UNG, 006260.KS, 457190.KS, 281740.KQ, 019360.KQ, 000150.KS, 009150.KS, 010140.KS, 012330.KS, 064760.KQ, 166090.KQ, 252990.KQ, 047040.KS, 352820.KS, Non-ferrous metals, 377300.KS, 060250.KQ, 234340.KQ, 064260.KQ, BOTZ, LivsMed, Korean holding companies