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Morning Brief: SpaceX Nasdaq 100 Inclusion First Day Plunges 6.8%... Below Opening Price [2026/07/08]

[Morning Brief] SpaceX, Nasdaq 100 inclusion first day 6.8% plunge... below opening price [26/07/08]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 08, 2026 at 00:29  |  1:44:37  |  Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문)
Speakers
Wang Bujang — China Market Analyst
Chang-min Pro — Producer/Analyst
Choi Ho — Vice President
Park Se-ik — CEO, ex-Chief Strategist

Summary

The hosts review global markets after a sharp tech sell-off fueled by rising oil and bond yields following Hormuz strait tensions. They highlight value opportunities in oversold semiconductors (Samsung, SK hynix, SOX), a bounce in Occidental on oil, Meta's AI model, and strong earnings from Penguin Solutions. In crypto, Bitcoin is showing bottoming signals while Ethereum could outperform. Korean analysts see Hive and Park Systems as attractive, and financials' strength suggests the market sell-off may be overdone.

  • Chinese auto glass leader Fuyao Glass trades at multi-year low valuations despite rising ASP, presenting a value opportunity.
  • Hormuz tanker attacks spike oil, benefiting US onshore producer Occidental Petroleum.
  • Meta's new in-house image generation model signals AI capability advancement.
  • Penguin Solutions raises full-year guidance on robust AI memory demand.
  • Bitcoin consolidates near support with potential regulatory tailwind; Ethereum could lead on liquidity.
  • Samsung Electronics' sell-off seen as overdone; KB Securities reiterates Buy with 550,000 KRW target.
  • SK hynix's 27% drop partly temporary due to ADR listing, creating an entry point.
  • Hive's Q2 earnings surge and low valuation offer a re-rating catalyst.
  • Park Systems shows relative strength amid semiconductor equipment sell-off.
  • Korean financials at 52-week highs, indicating no systemic risk and market resilience.
  • Philadelphia Semiconductor Index oversold, historical patterns suggest a short-term bounce.
Ideas
Chang-min Pro Producer/Analyst 17:42
Oil price spike benefits Oxy's onshore production
Oil price spiked on Hormuz strait tanker attacks. Occidental Petroleum is among the most oil-price sensitive large-cap producers. Crucially, its production base is US onshore, not Middle East, so supply disruptions in the Middle East make it a substitute supplier, benefiting from higher prices and potential market share gain. It is a direct beneficiary of geopolitical oil supply fears.
Chang-min Pro Producer/Analyst 18:19
Meta's own AI image model boosts stock
Meta released its first in-house image generation model (Muse Image), reducing dependence on external models. This signals AI capability advancement and potential for better integration and monetization, a positive for the stock even as tech sold off.
Chang-min Pro Producer/Analyst 20:17
Bitcoin bottoming setup with regulatory tailwind
Bitcoin is consolidating around $63k-$65k with support at 200-day moving average. On-chain data shows large whales net buying, though pace slowed. Fear and greed index near multi-month lows, historically a bottoming signal. SEC plans to announce crypto safe harbor rules this month, reducing regulatory downside. However, short-term risks remain with stablecoin market cap stagnant and high leverage ratios. Overall, the stage is set for a potential bottoming and trend reversal once certain signals confirm. It is a setup to watch for a long entry on dips.
Chang-min Pro Producer/Analyst 21:42
Ethereum to outperform on liquidity influx
Ethereum is showing a positive technical pattern, and if crypto liquidity improves, Ethereum could outperform Bitcoin and rally more strongly. He views the chart setup as very positive, suggesting it is a stronger candidate for upside once the market turns.
Chang-min Pro Producer/Analyst 47:45
AI memory demand drives Penguin's guidance raise
Penguin Solutions, a provider of high-performance computing and AI memory modules, reported strong Q earnings with 48% YoY revenue growth, raised full-year guidance significantly (revenue growth now +22% vs prior +12%), and management stated AI-driven memory demand is structural and long-lasting, with memory becoming a performance bottleneck. The company's outlook confirms robust AI infrastructure buildout.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 96:15
Semiconductor index oversold, bounce imminent
After a 12-15% decline in the SOX index, historical patterns and valuation (P/E compressed to 22.9x, and for leaders like Micron 6.7x) suggest a short-term bounce. Recent negative news (Meta capex, Samsung earnings, ADR listing, oil spike) are not new and have been used to justify selling, but the fundamental outlook for AI capex remains strong. The index has reached the 60-day moving average and often bounces from such oversold conditions. Therefore, a tactical long trade in semiconductors is warranted.
Up Next

This Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문) video, published July 08, 2026, features Chang-min Pro, Park Se-ik discussing OXY, META, BTC, ETH, PENG, SOX. 6 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Chang-min Pro, Park Se-ik  · Tickers: OXY, META, BTC, ETH, PENG, SOX