Trump’s Tariff Push Tests Transatlantic Unity | Insight with Haslinda Amin 1/20/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 20, 2026 at 07:17  |  1:33:01  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Hebe Chen — Head of Research, The Block
Feisal Wan Zahir — Managing Director, Khazanah Nasional
Amitabh Chaudhry — CEO, Axis Bank
Mitul Kotecha — Head of FX & EM Macro Strategy, Barclays
Jeong Eun-bo — CEO, Korea Exchange
Annabel Droulers — Anchor, Bloomberg TV
Abhishek Bishnoi — Senior Asia Equities Reporter
Kristalina Georgieva — Managing Director, International Monetary Fund
Francesca Stevens — Vietnam Bureau Chief, Bloomberg
Takashi Hashimoto — CEO, Mitsui O.S.K. Lines
Sudhir Ranjan Sen — India Government Reporter, Bloomberg

Summary

The video covers market reaction to President Trump's Greenland-related tariff threats against Europe, including Davos interviews on EU retaliation risks, IMF resilience, and FX strategy. Guests discuss Asia market outlooks, Japan's snap election and JGB selloff, Malaysia, India, Indonesia currency and banking views, and Korea's KOSPI rally plus MSCI and governance reform. Gold hits record highs as strategists debate dollar weakness, safe havens, and Asian equity diversification.

  • Trump's Greenland tariff threats test US-Europe ties and spark EU anti-coercion talk.
  • IMF sees resilient global growth but warns trade uncertainty could hurt activity.
  • Hebe Chen favors Asian equities, defense and defensives, AI, and sees further dollar weakness.
  • Japan snap election lifts JGB yields; Barclays stays long USD/JPY and bullish gold.
  • Malaysia's Khazanah sees ringgit strength, KLCI upside, and EM Asia opportunities.
  • Indian bank consolidation is expected to favor large banks; the rupee may stabilize.
  • Korea Exchange CEO targets KOSPI 6,000 and sees MSCI upgrade and won stabilization.
  • Hyundai Motor rallies on robotics and AI optimism; Indonesia faces MSCI outflow risk.
Ideas
Hebe Chen Head of Research, The Block 14:25
Dollar weakens on systemic tariff risk.
Tariff risk is now being read as systemic trade risk rather than inflation, which is undermining the US dollar; she expects further dollar lows if geopolitical and trade tensions continue.
Hebe Chen Head of Research, The Block 15:01
Asian equities to outperform on diversification.
US markets have underperformed Asia in currency-adjusted terms, and she expects diversification into Asian markets to continue because Asia is relatively resilient and benefiting from international economic fundamentals.
Hebe Chen Head of Research, The Block 16:03
Defense and defensives lead on anxiety.
Defense and defensive sectors are top beneficiaries for the year given unsettled markets, tariff anxiety, and geopolitical uncertainty.
Hebe Chen Head of Research, The Block 16:12
AI demand still rising; be selective.
She remains bullish on AI technology despite bubble concerns because AI is transforming how the world lives and works, and demand for applications and infrastructure should keep rising; investors must be selective on companies spending in the space.
Hebe Chen Head of Research, The Block 18:18
JGBs risky on fiscal concerns.
Japanese long-end yields have risen to abnormal levels and the steep curve signals serious market concerns about debt sustainability and the government's fiscal balance, especially if election-driven easy money continues.
Hebe Chen Head of Research, The Block 22:15
Korea market confidence remains intact.
Korea was Asia's top-performing market for good reasons, including confidence in local assets and the economy, and she remains confident in the market if those fundamentals continue.
Feisal Wan Zahir Managing Director, Khazanah Nasional 24:59
Malaysia equities can grow further.
The KLCI can grow further because Malaysia offers policy stability and execution, and active capital investors can push companies to improve profitability and earnings, similar to Japan and Korea.
Feisal Wan Zahir Managing Director, Khazanah Nasional 25:30
Ringgit strengthens as dollar weakens.
The ringgit should strengthen further as the US dollar outlook weakens, with some analysts projecting it toward four or below versus the dollar.
Feisal Wan Zahir Managing Director, Khazanah Nasional 26:17
Emerging Asia offers long earnings growth.
Emerging Asian markets offer 4-5% growth, younger demographics, and long earnings growth; despite fast capital flows, fundamentals make it a good market to be in.
Feisal Wan Zahir Managing Director, Khazanah Nasional 27:13
Policy-change themes offer regional growth.
Khazanah is targeting areas benefiting from market reconfiguration and policy changes, especially semiconductor supply chain infrastructure, connectivity, energy transition, and digital.
Amitabh Chaudhry CEO, Axis Bank 38:54
Indian banking consolidation favors large banks.
Consolidation will remain a long-term theme in Indian banking: larger institutions capture a disproportionate share of profits and India needs 8-10 large banks, while small banks are at risk if they cannot scale across products.
Amitabh Chaudhry CEO, Axis Bank 38:54
Indian banking consolidation favors large banks.
Consolidation will remain a long-term theme in Indian banking: larger institutions capture a disproportionate share of profits and India needs 8-10 large banks, while small banks are at risk if they cannot scale across products.
Amitabh Chaudhry CEO, Axis Bank 44:55
Rupee should stabilize in current range.
The rupee has depreciated sharply and weak FDI and portfolio flows hurt it, but government reforms and fiscal consolidation should help it stabilize in its current range rather than depreciate further.
Mitul Kotecha Head of FX & EM Macro Strategy, Barclays 51:07
Euro resilient but tariffs test it.
The euro has been resilient despite weaker data because of a robust current account and because some European capital is no longer being recycled into US assets; however, tariff damage to European growth could test that resilience.
Mitul Kotecha Head of FX & EM Macro Strategy, Barclays 52:46
Long USD/JPY targeting 160.
Barclays is long USD/JPY and targets 160 because the yen is not acting as a clear safe haven amid Japan election and fiscal worries and the long-end JGB selloff; pullbacks in USD/JPY should be shallow, though intervention risk rises near 160.
Mitul Kotecha Head of FX & EM Macro Strategy, Barclays 53:05
Swiss franc safe-haven if risk blows up.
The Swiss franc is holding up as one of the few safe-haven currencies that would clearly benefit in a major risk-off blow-up, even though other traditional havens are conflicted.
Mitul Kotecha Head of FX & EM Macro Strategy, Barclays 53:48
Gold rally continues on uncertainty.
Gold is benefiting from gradual de-dollarization, extreme policy uncertainty, inflation-hedge demand, central-bank easing and Fed uncertainty, and the Greenland dispute; it has hit record highs and a turnaround looks unlikely in this environment.
Mitul Kotecha Head of FX & EM Macro Strategy, Barclays 57:01
Rupiah defended near 17,000.
The rupiah is under pressure near 17,000, but Bank Indonesia has ammunition to defend it and he does not expect further slides; fiscal credibility and BI policy are the key swing factors.
Jeong Eun-bo CEO, Korea Exchange 70:43
KOSPI can reach 6,000.
The KOSPI can extend beyond 5,000 toward 6,000, supported by shareholder-return programs, government and legislative reforms, improved competitiveness in chips, defense and shipbuilding, and the new value-up drive.
Jeong Eun-bo CEO, Korea Exchange 72:21
Korean won could stabilize on inflows.
The won's weakness is driven by capital-account outflows from corporate overseas investment and domestic investors buying foreign assets; if domestic investors return and foreign inflows rise, it could stabilize the currency.
Jeong Eun-bo CEO, Korea Exchange 73:25
MSCI upgrade to drive Korea inflows.
Korea aims to join MSCI's developed-market league within the president's tenure; although it takes years, reclassification would force global allocations and the resulting inflows should substantially exceed outflows.
Annabel Droulers Anchor, Bloomberg TV 76:04
Hyundai Motor gains on robotics AI.
Hyundai Motor shares have rallied on analyst target upgrades and growing optimism around Boston Dynamics' Atlas humanoid robot and embodied AI, which has dispelled fears that Hyundai is behind cutting-edge tech and improved earnings expectations.
Abhishek Bishnoi Senior Asia Equities Reporter 89:22
Indonesia equities face MSCI outflows.
MSCI is reviewing its methodology and may lower Indonesia's weighting because of low free float and manipulation concerns; this could trigger over $2 billion of passive outflows, reduce the market's heft, and cap valuations in an already illiquid market.
Abhishek Bishnoi Senior Asia Equities Reporter 91:15
Avoid Europe; more positive China.
Citigroup downgraded continental European equities to neutral because US-Europe tensions threaten earnings and valuations, and Europe is heavily overbought; the reporter sees this as a step toward ignoring Europe and becoming more positive on China.
Abhishek Bishnoi Senior Asia Equities Reporter 91:15
Avoid Europe; more positive China.
Citigroup downgraded continental European equities to neutral because US-Europe tensions threaten earnings and valuations, and Europe is heavily overbought; the reporter sees this as a step toward ignoring Europe and becoming more positive on China.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published January 20, 2026, features Hebe Chen, Feisal Wan Zahir, Amitabh Chaudhry, Mitul Kotecha, Jeong Eun-bo, Annabel Droulers, Abhishek Bishnoi discussing USD, AAXJ, ITA, XLP, AI-SECTOR, Japanese government bonds, EWY, EWM, Malaysian ringgit, EEMA, SMH, Connectivity, ICLN, DLR, Large Indian banks, Small Indian banks, Indian rupee, FXE, USD/JPY, CHF, GLD, Indonesian rupiah, USD/KRW, Korean equities, 005380.KS, Indonesian equities, VGK, FXI. 25 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Hebe Chen, Feisal Wan Zahir, Amitabh Chaudhry, Mitul Kotecha, Jeong Eun-bo, Annabel Droulers, Abhishek Bishnoi  · Tickers: USD, AAXJ, ITA, XLP, AI-SECTOR, Japanese government bonds, EWY, EWM, Malaysian ringgit, EEMA, SMH, Connectivity, ICLN, DLR, Large Indian banks, Small Indian banks, Indian rupee, FXE, USD/JPY, CHF, GLD, Indonesian rupiah, USD/KRW, Korean equities, 005380.KS, Indonesian equities, VGK, FXI