Abhishek Bishnoi 5.0 3 ideas

You are seeing a bid for US dollar. Most of the oil is traded in US dollars. So petrodollar effect is helping the US dollar. As oil prices spike above $100 and geopolitical panic sets in, global capital flees to the safety and liquidity of the US Dollar, while the necessity to buy expensive oil further drives structural demand for USD. The US Dollar is the primary safe haven asset in this specific geopolitical energy shock, outperforming even gold due to delayed rate cuts. A sudden diplomatic resolution to the Iran conflict would rapidly deflate oil prices and reduce the safe-haven premium on the dollar.

China wasn't expensive when this war happened... the strategy of having diversified energy sources has helped... even laggards like Tencent have started retracing some of their underperformance. While the rest of the world struggles with $100 oil and stagflation, China's cheap equity valuations, massive EV/green energy dominance, and strategic oil buffers insulate its tech and consumer sectors from the worst of the macro shock. Chinese tech and green energy equities offer a rare combination of cheap valuation and fundamental resilience against Middle East energy disruptions. Escalating US-China trade tariffs or secondary sanctions related to the geopolitical conflict could override the valuation and energy-buffer advantages.