RBC's Gerard Cassidy talks buying weakness in bank stocks

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 12, 2026 at 22:35  |  5:49  |  CNBC
Speakers
Gerard Cassidy — Head of US Bank Equity Strategy, RBC Capital Markets
Karen — Fast Money panelist
Guy — Fast Money panelist

Summary

RBC analyst Gerard Cassidy tells CNBC's Fast Money that the recent weakness in bank stocks is a buying opportunity because the proposed credit-card rate cap is unlikely to advance and the deregulatory backdrop remains intact. He points to a steepening yield curve, accelerating loan growth, benign credit, and a healthy economy as positive drivers for lenders. He also discusses US Bancorp, saying its operating leverage has turned positive and could improve the stock if sustained.

  • Bank earnings season is set to kick off.
  • A proposed 10% credit-card rate cap pressured financials.
  • Gerard Cassidy calls the proposal political and unlikely to become law or regulation.
  • He says bank weakness is a buying opportunity and deregulation remains a tailwind.
  • He cites a steeper yield curve and 5-6% loan growth as positive for net interest income.
  • He sees US Bancorp's operating leverage improving after expense-growth issues.
  • Panelists debate whether everything going right for banks is itself a risk.
Ideas
Gerard Cassidy Head of US Bank Equity Strategy, RBC Capital Markets 1:14
Credit-card cap noise makes banks a buy
The proposed 10% credit-card rate cap is political and unlikely to be forced through by executive order because it would require legislation or regulatory action, both of which take time and are not expected. Large banks have some credit-card exposure, but the proposal does not change the administration's deregulatory agenda, including expected Basel III endgame changes, so today's weakness in bank stocks is a buying opportunity.
Gerard Cassidy Head of US Bank Equity Strategy, RBC Capital Markets 4:41
US Bancorp operating leverage is inflecting
US Bancorp's stock has been held back by negative sentiment, an unexpected CEO change, and weak expense growth that hurt its historically low efficiency ratio. More recently, operating leverage - revenue growth versus expense growth - has turned very positive in Q3 and should be positive in Q4; if it sustains two strong quarters and provides 2026 guidance, the stock can improve.
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This CNBC video, published January 12, 2026, features Gerard Cassidy discussing BANK, USB. 2 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Gerard Cassidy  · Tickers: BANK, USB