[9월 11일 마감시황] 유가 100달러·국채금리 5% 코앞에도 낙폭 축소…조선·금융이 막아낸 급락ㅣ홍선애, 이권희, 김장열 [클로징벨 라이브]

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 11, 2026 at 08:06  |  1:12:57  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Kim Jang-yeol — Reporter, The Bell
Lee Kwon-hee — CEO, Economist

Summary

Hong Seon-ae hosted a closing-bell discussion with Kim Jang-yeol and Lee Kwon-hee. They assessed a Korean market that fell but recovered much of its early losses despite oil above $100 and US 10-year yields near 5%. The guests highlighted shipbuilding, financials, nuclear/SMR, HBM semiconductors, low-end MLCC beneficiaries, and selected bio/cosmetics themes, while warning that security stocks and macro-driven rate uncertainty remain risks.

  • Korean equities opened sharply lower but closed with contained losses; individuals bought while foreigners and institutions sold.
  • Kim expected a narrow KOSPI box with a rising low and an upward longer bias, pending CPI and FOMC.
  • Shipbuilders and HD Hyundai Heavy Industries rallied on engine-capacity investment tied to AI/data-center power.
  • Rate-hike expectations supported banks, insurers, and parts of the bond market.
  • Nuclear/SMR news flow and Taewoong's new SMR business drew attention.
  • AI semiconductor demand remains strong, with HBM and memory exports supporting the cycle.
  • Lee highlighted low-end MLCC beneficiaries, OliX's RNA/hair-loss pipeline, and a cheap cosmetics rebound.
  • Korean security stocks were framed as a short-term theme with weak fundamentals.
Ideas
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 2:54
Shipbuilders gain from AI power engines
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries' plan to invest about 830 billion won to expand engine capacity from 3GW to 7GW, including roughly 3GW for land-based/data-center power, adds an AI power-infrastructure angle to shipbuilding. The news revived a beaten-down shipbuilder and supports the broader Korean shipbuilding sector, which also has earnings visibility that can withstand higher rates.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 6:20
KOSPI range with rising lows
The KOSPI's early plunge was contained and the market is forming a narrow range rather than breaking down. Foreign options positioning suggests a bottom near 6,800-6,900 and a short-term cap around 7,100-7,150, while the low is gradually rising. Until CPI and FOMC, the index may stay boxed, but the bias is upward rather than toward a deeper crash.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 20:35
OliX RNA hair-loss theme watch
OliX presented next-generation RNA platform technology at RNA World 2026 and is working with L'Oréal on skin and hair-loss treatments, including male-pattern baldness. RNA therapeutics and hair-loss treatments are hot themes, and OliX's pipeline is drawing attention, but it remains loss-making and in a downtrend, so the setup needs trend reversal confirmation rather than chasing.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 25:55
Korean cosmetics rebound on cheap valuation
Korean cosmetics stocks were sold off as won strength hurt export earnings, but they rebounded as small-cap names attracted pre-holiday tourist demand and expectations of a better third quarter. With macro uncertainty still high, macro-insensitive consumer names that had fallen look cheap.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 28:08
Taewoong adds SMR forging business
Taewoong, a forging company, has added SMR as a new business and is a parts supplier tied to HD Hyundai Heavy Industries' SMR investment. The stock rose 7% on this specific SMR supply-chain angle within the nuclear theme.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 28:31
Nuclear sector has live policy catalysts
The nuclear power complex remains supported by live policy catalysts: a US-Korea $100 billion investment deal nearing completion, plans for up to eight nuclear reactors, and the minister's US visit for final negotiations. The uptrend is still intact, though investors should watch the 18th-20th news events and avoid chasing names that have already risen sharply.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 30:24
Marine Solution breakout on volume
HD Hyundai Marine Solution had been consolidating since May and broke out on a volume surge, trading steadily through the session. Such long-base breakouts on increased volume usually have follow-through, especially with the engine/data-center power narrative supporting the group.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 31:42
Murata exit helps low-end MLCC makers
Murata's decision to discontinue low-spec MLCC products should benefit more focused low-end MLCC makers. The macro selloff masked the positive news, but as Murata stabilizes or rebounds, Korean low-end MLCC names can become relative beneficiaries.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 31:51
Samwha benefits from Murata low-end exit
Samwha Capacitor is a direct beneficiary of Murata's low-spec MLCC exit and already surged 18% on the news. The speaker flags the move but also notes limited familiarity with the company.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 31:58
Amotech AI network MLCC turnaround
Amotech is an underappreciated MLCC beneficiary: its MLCCs are not server components but power and optical-network components inside AI data-center racks, with direct customers such as Marvell and Coherent. The company has been loss-making, but third-quarter profitability is expected to turn positive, MLCC mix should rise next year, and one report sees valuation compressing from about 30x this year to about 10x next year. After a sharp fall, the volume-backed limit-up move could offer a trading opportunity if the growth story is confirmed.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 34:01
Samsung Electro-Mechanics muted by macro
Samsung Electro-Mechanics should have benefited from Murata's low-spec MLCC exit, but the broad macro selloff prevented a positive reaction; its flat close was not due to company-specific negativity. If Murata rebounds, Samsung Electro-Mechanics can respond.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 40:08
Korean security stocks are weak theme
Cybersecurity stocks rallied after Jensen Huang called cyber security the next huge AI market and reports of Chinese hacking, but Korea has many listed security companies, intense competition, weak earnings, and no global-scale player. Xgate earned only about 3.8 billion won in its best year while its market cap is around 350 billion won, so the move is a short-term theme rather than an investment.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 46:57
Strong 30Y auction signals yield peak
The 30-year US Treasury auction saw strong demand, especially from indirect foreign bidders, at yields above 5.3%. The high yield attracted buyers and the good auction suggests long-end prices may be bottoming; if US fiscal conditions do not deteriorate, the rise in long yields may be limited.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 52:34
AI chip demand keeps HBM cycle alive
AI-related demand remains intact: TSMC posted record monthly sales, Oracle's backlog was strong, GPU capacity is sold out with orders booked into 2028-2029, and Korean early-September export data showed very strong memory module and MCP shipments. HBM should lead the next memory upleg, so this is not the time to sell semiconductors; earnings visibility can overcome the rate-rise discount.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 68:19
Oracle backlog versus capex watch
Oracle's results were good but not a huge surprise; the key is its RPO backlog, which has grown sharply and represents multi-year contracted future revenue. The mismatch between heavy capex and revenue recognition creates negative free cash flow during the investment cycle, so Oracle must execute well and is helped by Nvidia. The backlog supports the stock, but the free-cash-flow profile remains a watch item.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published September 11, 2026, features Kim Jang-yeol, Lee Kwon-hee discussing Korean shipbuilding sector, 329180.KS, EWY, 226950.KQ, KORU, 044490.KQ, Korean nuclear power sector, 443060.KS, Korean low-end MLCC makers, 001820.KS, 052710.KQ, 009150.KS, Korean security stocks, XGate, US 30-year Treasuries, SMH, ORCL. 15 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Kim Jang-yeol, Lee Kwon-hee  · Tickers: Korean shipbuilding sector, 329180.KS, EWY, 226950.KQ, KORU, 044490.KQ, Korean nuclear power sector, 443060.KS, Korean low-end MLCC makers, 001820.KS, 052710.KQ, 009150.KS, Korean security stocks, XGate, US 30-year Treasuries, SMH, ORCL