Samsung Electronics and SK hynix Are No Longer the Underdog: 'Qualcomm Has Surrendered'; Will the 2026 Operating Profit 300 Trillion Won Era Arrive, and What Is the Best Investment Timing? | The Premiere CEO Kang Gwan-woo

삼성전자·SK하이닉스.. 더 이상 을 이 아니다 "퀄컴이 항복했다" / 2026년 영업이익 300조 시대 실현되나.. 최고의 투자 타이밍은? | 더 프레미어 강관우 대표
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  February 12, 2026 at 07:15  |  21:38  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Kang Gwan-woo — CEO

Summary

Kang Gwan-woo, CEO of The Premiere, discusses Korean equities, memory semiconductors, credit balances, and brokerage stocks. He argues Samsung Electronics and SK hynix now have stronger pricing power, sees their 2026 combined operating profit potentially approaching KRW 300tn, and favors semiconductors and brokerage stocks while warning on KOSDAQ leverage and foreign selling. He also highlights Samsung's cheap valuation and high ROE and SK hynix's extraordinary ROE.

  • Kang Gwan-woo says the KRW 30tn credit balance is high in absolute terms but not extreme as a percentage of market cap.
  • He favors Korean brokerage/securities stocks as money shifts from banks toward securities firms.
  • He views Qualcomm's guidance cut as evidence of memory shortage and stronger pricing power for Samsung and SK hynix.
  • He says Samsung and SK hynix could approach a combined KRW 300tn operating profit in 2026.
  • He argues Samsung Electronics is cheap with ROE above 25%, improving foundry prospects, and potential shareholder returns.
  • He says SK hynix's ROE above 60% makes its stock rally look justified despite softer 2027 margin consensus.
  • He recommends keeping semiconductor exposure as a core holding but raising cash during volatility.
  • He warns that KOSDAQ credit balances and turnover are excessive and that foreign selling/short balances need monitoring.
Ideas
Brokerage stocks benefit from fund shifts
The guest says Korean credit and trading activity are shifting money from banks toward securities firms, and KOSDAQ turnover and credit balances are especially elevated. He has favored brokerage/securities stocks since last year and expects them to remain attractive this year and going forward.
KOSDAQ shows excessive leverage and churn
KOSDAQ credit balances are about KRW 10tn, half of KOSPI's despite KOSDAQ market cap being only roughly 15% of KOSPI, and turnover is much higher. That suggests excessive leverage and speculative churn; with foreign short-selling also rising, KOSDAQ looks vulnerable and less attractive.
Foreign selling, short balances need watching
Although the Korean market rally has been strong, foreign selling and short-selling balances have risen; this is a near-term stamina risk that should be monitored, even if it is not yet enough to break the semiconductor-led uptrend.
Memory makers gain pricing power
Qualcomm's lowered earnings guidance is not a memory negative but evidence of a memory shortage and rising prices; memory suppliers are moving from subordinate suppliers to price-setting leaders. SK hynix's operating margin is already above Nvidia's and consensus sees further upside, while Samsung and SK hynix together could approach a combined KRW 300tn operating profit in 2026. Their capex plans look stable, and Samsung's HBM4/foundry progress reinforces the shift.
Memory makers gain pricing power
Samsung Electronics is still cheap relative to global semiconductor peers and even Micron/SanDisk, while its ROE is above 25% versus roughly 16% for KOSPI and it generates excess free cash flow. Foundry losses should improve over the next two to three years as customers return, HBM4/foundry momentum is strengthening, and there is room for shareholder returns/share-based compensation. He advocates regular accumulation rather than bank deposits unless ROE breaks below 10%.
Own Korean semiconductors as core
The market is K-shaped, with winners continuing higher and laggards falling, so investors should stay on the rising side and include at least one semiconductor sector exposure as a core holding. Semiconductor momentum remains solid for at least three to six months until first-quarter earnings, though he advises raising cash during volatility to buy dips.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published February 12, 2026, features Kang Gwan-woo discussing Korean securities/brokerage stocks, KOSDAQ Index, EWY, 000660.KS, 005930.KS, Korean semiconductor sector. 6 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Kang Gwan-woo  · Tickers: Korean securities/brokerage stocks, KOSDAQ Index, EWY, 000660.KS, 005930.KS, Korean semiconductor sector